TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Gen.G, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd202…8973backed Gen.G37c23,755$8,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,789.3538235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Gen.G38c13,749$5,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,207.0191854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T162c12,971$8,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,927.825143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked T163c11,946$7,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,420.0214448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T163c9,356$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.261,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T164c3,580$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.385746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed T163c3,306$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.077758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Gen.G37c2,286$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.788751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Gen.G37c2,077$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.3832145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked Gen.G37c2,042$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.522142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed T163c1,508$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.946246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf399…0129backed Gen.G38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed T163c1,190$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.485851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Gen.G37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked T163c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Gen.G36c999.96$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.991,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed T149c954.49$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.0386144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Gen.G62c954.42$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4314148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Gen.G36c882.45$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6857945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Gen.G37c868.8$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.461,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Gen.G38c859.92$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7717556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed T156c536.62$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.16440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed Gen.G37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Gen.G37c500$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.043644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce90…5ec7backed T163c498.3$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed T163c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1911840.7%48 W · 70 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T163c395.63$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3849461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed T134c395.5$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.826538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed T163c320$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4003…f1dabacked T163c319.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.151758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gen.G45c285.61$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.122,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked Gen.G51c284.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4217659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked T127c266.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.391,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Gen.G38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed T163c253.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9765063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Gen.G37c221.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed T162c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768237.8%31 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed T146c193.47$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.62,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked T163c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.482161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T138c169.31$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked T152c167.46$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4623831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Gen.G62c161.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed T163c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7328652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…f836backed T164c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.258043.8%35 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Gen.G37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed T163c132$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8411552.2%60 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Gen.G59c131.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3321859.6%130 W · 88 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked T163c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9840365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed T155c126.15$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.464746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed Gen.G37c120$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.417744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed T146c117.78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8339859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed T164c109.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.383246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed T163c101.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5917060.6%103 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked T163c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3761256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Gen.G37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3763646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed T130c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7016936.1%61 W · 108 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed T153c94.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.832653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eaa…80dbbacked T169c93.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.314252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Gen.G70c91.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9275942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed T164c90.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5411649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Gen.G37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked T163c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.374757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Gen.G38c79.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021150.7%107 W · 104 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Gen.G57c74.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.421,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Gen.G38c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.67663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Gen.G52c66.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked T164c64.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2311754.7%64 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked T164c63.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0234357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eaa…799abacked T158c60.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.381376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Gen.G26c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.823050%15 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+122%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc069…8729backed T163c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T164c54.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x946c…59cbbacked T164c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.691770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2796…2f42backed Gen.G38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Gen.G37c50.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6279745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked T162c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed T146c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2732253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed T147c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.547630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked T141c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed Gen.G40c48.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3313842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed T164c48.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4435560.8%216 W · 139 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked T150c47.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.924959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed T164c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.883852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed T160c42.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0810657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941e…9775backed Gen.G47c42.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017067.1%114 W · 56 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked T164c41.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1549346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Gen.G37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1580832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb63a…37b0backed Gen.G70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Gen.G38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Gen.G45c33.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.253957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Gen.G38c33.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7229948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc453…31f5backed T156c32.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.499161.5%56 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7884…1fb0backed T163c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked T164c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2524257%138 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b0…b1eebacked T164c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed T149c30.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6415956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Gen.G38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked T162c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.453955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x723b…7bbebacked T139c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.081838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd952…0553backed T147c27.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.