Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191087ee15464a9f62b793e0b8ed0cc030706b727696027df8def4bb839e1e7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 66c | 1,905$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.18 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 20c | 1,780$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.15 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 66c | 1,381$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 699.96$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.68 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 57c | 531.27$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 60c | 409.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.73 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 35c | 369.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 48c | 84.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed No | 29c | 55.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 54c | 53.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 47c | 51.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 60c | 42.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 39.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 46c | 37.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 58c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will FC Lorient vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.