TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$458,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$530,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,625 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No29c331,651$95,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95,127.812040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes72c150,933$108,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,707.046960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes71c80,000$56,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,2004772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Yes71c48,000$34,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,9201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c17,431$12,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,847.31,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8003265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No28c9,022$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.142128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes76c3,683$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.951216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No28c2,030$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.042642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes75c1,465$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.032166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes76c1,243$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No28c1,088$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.6810521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes73c1,054$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.034341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes73c749.67$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.411070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No6c678.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.344839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes72c625$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No29c617.24$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1794030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No24c600.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.021612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes71c534.44$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3523153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76dd…59e8backed Yes79c509.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.67875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…77c9backed Yes74c405.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No28c382.46$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.841656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc8…d9f7backed Yes73c353.42$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes72c320.47$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.533100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No27c290.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4412050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes72c287$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.362080%16 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Yes72c278$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7814340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2276…307bbacked Yes73c268.62$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.53560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes76c264.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.215156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No27c216.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.387529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No23c200.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes73c193.15$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.153732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed No28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb24…6ed3backed Yes72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes72c166.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3b8…d1c4backed Yes71c165.25$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.995042%21 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf28…8f93backed Yes73c136.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes73c117.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.761154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes73c113.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee1d…cc3abacked Yes73c87.79$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes72c71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.889156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b31…1a7ebacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953966.7%26 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes71c49.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.265554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Yes73c42.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…b172backed Yes72c40.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…0918backed Yes73c33.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…eff5backed Yes72c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234e…8ee2backed Yes73c31.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd4…f1b8backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x273a…6d54backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x852a…07d1backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e23…cbc4backed Yes73c27.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908e…8299backed Yes72c24.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes73c21.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.893852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1690…4bf8backed Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799f…c6b6backed Yes73c17.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ae…73ccbacked Yes72c17.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.