MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2787a67be44258de2b7f6fa621f1f83630597d6abd246e38a48999b1bbcbbbcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 50c | 247,601$123,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,800.54 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Reds | 50c | 187,934$93,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,966.95 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Reds | 50c | 99,215$49,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,607.54 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Pirates | 50c | 79,960$39,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,980 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 50c | 44,444$22,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,222 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 50c | 26,665$13,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,332.36 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Reds | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 50c | 13,676$6,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812.76 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Reds | 50c | 12,675$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,337.42 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pirates | 49c | 7,097$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.55 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 49c | 6,410$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.01 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Reds | 52c | 5,065$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.14 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 52c | 3,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.69 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 49c | 3,648$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.48 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 53c | 2,500$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Reds | 50c | 2,228$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.22 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 24c | 2,198$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Pirates | 1c | 2,063$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Reds | 49c | 2,050$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.37 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 51c | 2,001$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 48c | 1,879$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.22 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 51c | 1,860$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.4 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Pirates | 24c | 1,334$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 49c | 1,250$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.67 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 51c | 830$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 66c | 718.35$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.14 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 50c | 665.25$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Reds | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Reds | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Reds | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 50c | 459.4$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Reds | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Reds | 63c | 446.86$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates | 50c | 402.47$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 19c | 320$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Reds | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 53c | 283$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 46c | 225.81$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 38c | 220.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Reds | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Pirates | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Reds | 51c | 194.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 51c | 193.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pirates | 47c | 183.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Pirates | 51c | 170.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Reds | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Pirates | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Reds | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Reds | 34c | 147$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Pirates | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Reds | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 52c | 127.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Pirates | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 37c | 126.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 47c | 121.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 48c | 116.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Reds | 51c | 107.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Reds | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Reds | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 47c | 97.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates | 54c | 84.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Pirates | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Reds | 74c | 74.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Reds | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Reds | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…af8abacked Reds | 51c | 67.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…ed0abacked Pirates | 50c | 66.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…9852backed Pirates | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e776backed Pirates | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Reds | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Reds | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Pirates | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…7f11backed Reds | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Pirates | 47c | 53.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 56c | 51.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Pirates | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Pirates | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Pirates | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.