MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14c3b07e8937ac89f8ea81472f3c21a44691a897342a98fa56702aeee9740b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Angels, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tigers | 62c | 15,883$9,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.68 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels | 38c | 5,767$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.28 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels | 38c | 3,190$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 36c | 2,739$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tigers | 64c | 2,507$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.02 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Tigers | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Angels | 37c | 1,997$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.91 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 36c | 1,677$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.64 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Angels | 37c | 1,322$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.13 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 3c | 1,268$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589f…b2a8backed Angels | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Angels | 14c | 724.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Angels | 38c | 560$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Angels | 38c | 526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angels | 19c | 465.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Tigers | 66c | 418.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 36c | 417.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Tigers | 66c | 395$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Tigers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Angels | 34c | 316$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Angels | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 35c | 299.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 76c | 288.81$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels | 37c | 251.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Tigers | 66c | 225.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Angels | 38c | 222.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 38c | 213.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Angels | 17c | 200.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Angels | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 19c | 174$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Tigers | 64c | 163.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Tigers | 64c | 156.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe688…fc52backed Tigers | 64c | 153.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Angels | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Angels | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Angels | 38c | 134.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Angels | 38c | 125$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…091ebacked Tigers | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Angels | 13c | 84.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers | 73c | 74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers | 72c | 70.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Angels | 38c | 66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Angels | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Angels | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Tigers | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 63c | 53.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…d6c4backed Angels | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked Tigers | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Angels | 42c | 35.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tigers | 63c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Tigers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Angels | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Tigers | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…a6d6backed Tigers | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…47c6backed Tigers | 60c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ad14backed Tigers | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…fbbcbacked Tigers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.