MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5253a4a99a54fc4bbfdd1ab21610c4190594841f3cf34c43b3d5b7ab76b8f797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Mariners, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 13c | 35,315$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590.93 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Mariners | 49c | 19,241$9,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,382.1 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 59c | 12,612$7,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,421.08 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 41c | 10,900$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,430.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 54c | 9,195$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Athletics | 42c | 8,860$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.78 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Mariners | 58c | 7,700$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 11c | 7,635$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.21 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners | 59c | 6,651$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.97 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 43c | 5,700$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.75 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mariners | 30c | 5,608$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.48 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Mariners | 46c | 5,178$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 39c | 4,983$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.77 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Mariners | 28c | 4,700$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics | 42c | 4,674$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.44 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners | 59c | 4,576$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Mariners | 57c | 4,193$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.78 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 41c | 3,850$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mariners | 46c | 3,791$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mariners | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 42c | 3,473$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.2 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 41c | 3,400$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 54c | 3,269$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mariners | 58c | 2,970$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.6 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 59c | 2,903$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.77 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Mariners | 12c | 2,338$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 78c | 1,966$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics | 66c | 1,800$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.32 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners | 14c | 1,638$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 32c | 1,631$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.06 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Athletics | 76c | 1,602$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mariners | 46c | 1,523$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.73 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,512$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…dd06backed Athletics | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mariners | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 45c | 1,188$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.09 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 58c | 1,096$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.77 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mariners | 11c | 1,069$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Mariners | 45c | 1,051$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 11c | 1,037$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Athletics | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Mariners | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 57c | 885.68$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.84 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 19c | 857.26$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 41c | 850$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 58c | 850$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 13c | 796.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 43c | 775.19$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.86 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Mariners | 16c | 706$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 59c | 699.59$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Athletics | 41c | 683$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 41c | 634.82$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Mariners | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 47c | 522.3$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Mariners | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mariners | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 57c | 499.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 57c | 484.21$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Athletics | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Athletics | 43c | 398.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 58c | 372.77$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Athletics | 75c | 370.18$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mariners | 22c | 367.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Athletics | 42c | 362.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.14 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 43c | 350.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.26 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 41c | 349.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Mariners | 58c | 343.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Athletics | 60c | 295.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 42c | 283.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mariners | 58c | 283$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Athletics | 65c | 280$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Athletics | 72c | 272.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Mariners | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Athletics | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 25c | 226$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 55c | 216$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Athletics | 69c | 205.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Mariners | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 58c | 194.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 14c | 193.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Mariners | 14c | 183.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e624backed Mariners | 48c | 158$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…9b13backed Athletics | 52c | 158$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ac…2461backed Mariners | 32c | 156.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Athletics | 55c | 154.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Athletics | 76c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Athletics | 55c | 148.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Athletics | 55c | 146.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Athletics | 57c | 142.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Athletics | 59c | 142.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.