Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-09-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12adc403902e4c7fd5298dc8bea06c310414fd5a14f1043bff5ea88c18b72fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 4,016$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 57c | 1,057$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.47 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 41c | 302.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 38c | 261.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 40c | 227.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 45c | 82.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 54c | 73.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…b8cebacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Yes | 58c | 44.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b7…32a7backed Yes | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…c839backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 60c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-09-15?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-09-15?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.