UFC · resolved market
Filho vs. Nascimento
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dbaa862cde5bdc5bef50b0615ea75edcc30ee0017c21dc03dc5a19733e25a31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nascimentoof Filho, Nascimento
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd90c…a40fbacked Nascimento | 57c | 30,008$17,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,903.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…9feabacked Filho | 43c | 30,008$12,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,903.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…9275backed Nascimento | 57c | 28,155$16,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,106.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa3…3199backed Filho | 43c | 28,155$12,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,106.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Nascimento | 52c | 15,391$7,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.77 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Filho | 49c | 7,323$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.07 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Filho | 48c | 7,030$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Filho | 48c | 7,000$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.32 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nascimento | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Filho | 46c | 2,175$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.49 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nascimento | 55c | 1,736$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.81 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Filho | 11c | 1,267$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Nascimento | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.39 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Nascimento | 51c | 1,001$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.35 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Filho | 51c | 1,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.24 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Nascimento | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…0e86backed Nascimento | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…109bbacked Nascimento | 53c | 835$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…9579backed Filho | 47c | 735$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…2d11backed Filho | 47c | 725$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nascimento | 53c | 671$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.37 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Filho | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nascimento | 49c | 595$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Nascimento | 53c | 589.67$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Filho | 60c | 503.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Filho | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Nascimento | 52c | 474.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.94 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Filho | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nascimento | 40c | 384.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Filho | 44c | 364.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Filho | 45c | 308$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…e76ebacked Filho | 47c | 275$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Filho | 49c | 240.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Nascimento | 52c | 239$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Filho | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Filho | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Nascimento | 52c | 201.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Filho | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Filho | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Filho | 41c | 199.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nascimento | 52c | 194$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Nascimento | 52c | 190.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Filho | 9c | 188$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…edb9backed Nascimento | 60c | 183.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…8ce2backed Nascimento | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Filho | 40c | 164.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Nascimento | 59c | 154$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…a102backed Filho | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nascimento | 56c | 139.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Filho | 41c | 137.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Nascimento | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Filho | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…05a8backed Nascimento | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…57a6backed Filho | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Filho | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Filho | 47c | 93.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Nascimento | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…f96bbacked Filho | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…3f09backed Nascimento | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…a900backed Filho | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Nascimento | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…7a0ebacked Filho | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbb…0cbfbacked Filho | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3689…6ef8backed Nascimento | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657f…eef2backed Nascimento | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Nascimento | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nascimento | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Nascimento | 58c | 50.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…3d5dbacked Nascimento | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…ffd7backed Filho | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…c3ccbacked Nascimento | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…25dabacked Filho | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…81b4backed Nascimento | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…3aaebacked Nascimento | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3508…826fbacked Filho | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…2563backed Filho | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…b32fbacked Nascimento | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…d280backed Filho | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Nascimento | 51c | 47.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…61bdbacked Nascimento | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…a258backed Filho | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…3035backed Filho | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6529…9bd7backed Nascimento | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…0fe0backed Nascimento | 53c | 43.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Nascimento | 58c | 42.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…cac5backed Filho | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…eb93backed Nascimento | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Filho | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe1…319fbacked Nascimento | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…dd00backed Nascimento | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…130bbacked Filho | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…1aecbacked Nascimento | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…c01abacked Filho | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…d7dbbacked Nascimento | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…3194backed Nascimento | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…d3a8backed Nascimento | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d1…bdf8backed Nascimento | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…dd70backed Nascimento | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Filho | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a2…e403backed Filho | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Filho vs. Nascimentothis page
- Dos Santos vs. ArdeleanArdelean won
- Gamrot vs. KleinGamrot won
- Goff vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Holobaugh vs. LeavittLeavitt won
- Jacoby vs. LopesJacoby won
- Reese vs. TodorovićReese won
- Vieira vs. ChiassonVieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.