UFC · resolved market
Goff vs. Brahimaj
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe403aa03e54cd606ef3eb0568de17f936019c7072111db90165fe06212c195a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brahimajof Goff, Brahimaj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Brahimaj | 51c | 9,550$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.33 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Goff | 77c | 8,298$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Goff | 80c | 6,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brahimaj | 21c | 5,615$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.03 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Brahimaj | 21c | 3,087$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.05 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Goff | 1c | 2,999$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Goff | 75c | 1,291$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Goff | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Brahimaj | 20c | 678$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Goff | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Brahimaj | 20c | 505$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…fff6backed Brahimaj | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brahimaj | 20c | 352.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Goff | 80c | 350$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Brahimaj | 20c | 350$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brahimaj | 21c | 321.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…d2b9backed Brahimaj | 22c | 285.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Brahimaj | 18c | 243.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Goff | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Goff | 67c | 164.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Brahimaj | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Brahimaj | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Brahimaj | 20c | 95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Goff | 79c | 47.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Brahimaj | 21c | 47.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Goff | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Brahimaj | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Goff vs. Brahimajthis page
- Dos Santos vs. ArdeleanArdelean won
- Filho vs. NascimentoNascimento won
- Gamrot vs. KleinGamrot won
- Holobaugh vs. LeavittLeavitt won
- Jacoby vs. LopesJacoby won
- Reese vs. TodorovićReese won
- Vieira vs. ChiassonVieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.