UFC · resolved market
Jacoby vs. Lopes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23a6d393f6eee391a22c3a0ea63987a95d113a21a8d7cb4f4f7af069c609a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacobyof Jacoby, Lopes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $369,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $369,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fce…7159backed Lopes | 35c | 60,148$21,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,051.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…8f1abacked Jacoby | 65c | 60,148$39,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,051.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece9…75a4backed Jacoby | 62c | 58,215$36,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,121.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9537…dc8fbacked Lopes | 38c | 58,215$22,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,121.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…d15dbacked Jacoby | 61c | 35,107$21,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,691.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…82abbacked Lopes | 39c | 35,107$13,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,691.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lopes | 37c | 15,541$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.63 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Jacoby | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Lopes | 37c | 13,332$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.83 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Jacoby | 63c | 9,447$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.24 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Lopes | 36c | 7,226$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.49 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Jacoby | 62c | 5,646$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jacoby | 64c | 4,608$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.02 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lopes | 39c | 3,054$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.99 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Lopes | 40c | 2,820$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jacoby | 60c | 2,574$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.14 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Jacoby | 62c | 2,198$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Jacoby | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jacoby | 62c | 1,300$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Jacoby | 63c | 1,143$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.59 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jacoby | 61c | 1,011$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lopes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Lopes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Lopes | 38c | 968.23$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Jacoby | 61c | 665.97$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.73 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jacoby | 60c | 636.03$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.64 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Lopes | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jacoby | 61c | 558.66$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Jacoby | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Jacoby | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Lopes | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Lopes | 38c | 390$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Lopes | 36c | 345.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Jacoby | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Jacoby | 64c | 311.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Lopes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Jacoby | 63c | 276.08$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jacoby | 62c | 226.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Jacoby | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lopes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Jacoby | 62c | 189.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Jacoby | 65c | 153.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lopes | 39c | 151.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Lopes | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…d2b9backed Lopes | 36c | 123.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…8c6fbacked Lopes | 41c | 121.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Jacoby | 63c | 114.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Jacoby | 63c | 109.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Jacoby | 62c | 107.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Lopes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Lopes | 39c | 91.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Lopes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Jacoby | 46c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Lopes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Jacoby | 63c | 78.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Jacoby | 58c | 71.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lopes | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Lopes | 38c | 60.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…2708backed Lopes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…d22cbacked Jacoby | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…65edbacked Jacoby | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…e13bbacked Lopes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lopes | 41c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Lopes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…4b6cbacked Jacoby | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Jacoby | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…6025backed Lopes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Lopes | 38c | 49.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Lopes | 39c | 46.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Jacoby | 61c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…1e2fbacked Jacoby | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3795…0cdbbacked Jacoby | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…0ff4backed Lopes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…c27cbacked Jacoby | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ef…0b49backed Lopes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4a…9c5fbacked Jacoby | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…6a3fbacked Lopes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…7776backed Lopes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2f…fd77backed Lopes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…8e76backed Lopes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…3133backed Lopes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…64c9backed Jacoby | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…2da0backed Jacoby | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…3b6bbacked Jacoby | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…ebd1backed Jacoby | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Lopes | 39c | 37.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Jacoby | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Jacoby | 62c | 30.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Lopes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3640…eaf0backed Jacoby | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…0269backed Lopes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Lopes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1419…9016backed Jacoby | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Jacoby | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Jacoby | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacoby vs. Lopesthis page
- Dos Santos vs. ArdeleanArdelean won
- Filho vs. NascimentoNascimento won
- Gamrot vs. KleinGamrot won
- Goff vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Holobaugh vs. LeavittLeavitt won
- Reese vs. TodorovićReese won
- Vieira vs. ChiassonVieira won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.