UFC · resolved market
Vieira vs. Chiasson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dbce1f14240de903dffe9aa59fcbaff8830322a941394f2f33fe825e9899027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vieiraof Vieira, Chiasson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d13…3752backed Chiasson | 53c | 36,255$19,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,215.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…d6b0backed Vieira | 47c | 36,255$17,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,215.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…8477backed Chiasson | 53c | 32,815$17,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,391.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…f296backed Vieira | 47c | 32,815$15,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,391.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…65c9backed Vieira | 52c | 32,765$17,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,727.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…683abacked Chiasson | 48c | 32,765$15,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,727.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Vieira | 72c | 5,457$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.34 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Chiasson | 57c | 5,293$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.73 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Vieira | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Vieira | 44c | 4,741$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.07 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Chiasson | 56c | 3,898$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vieira | 42c | 2,635$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.27 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chiasson | 56c | 2,409$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.16 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Vieira | 54c | 1,855$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.3 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Chiasson | 24c | 1,746$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.53 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…e625backed Chiasson | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…9c41backed Vieira | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chiasson | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Chiasson | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Chiasson | 34c | 785.45$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.95 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Vieira | 40c | 778.32$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Chiasson | 60c | 750.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Chiasson | 7c | 706.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Vieira | 41c | 655.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.23 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Chiasson | 62c | 460.35$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Vieira | 61c | 413.77$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.9 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Vieira | 43c | 393.38$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chiasson | 9c | 375.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Chiasson | 62c | 373.94$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.84 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chiasson | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Vieira | 44c | 328$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Chiasson | 54c | 268.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Chiasson | 59c | 241.34$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Vieira | 60c | 224.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Vieira | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Chiasson | 62c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.76 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Chiasson | 52c | 199.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Chiasson | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Chiasson | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Vieira | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…fff6backed Chiasson | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Chiasson | 50c | 140.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Chiasson | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Vieira | 54c | 129$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Vieira | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Chiasson | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Vieira | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vieira | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Chiasson | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Vieira | 45c | 94.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8338…8be1backed Vieira | 45c | 91.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Chiasson | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…ad82backed Vieira | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…3e98backed Chiasson | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Vieira | 48c | 78.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Chiasson | 62c | 72.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Vieira | 56c | 71.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…6014backed Vieira | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…e096backed Vieira | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…e8e9backed Chiasson | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6568…536cbacked Chiasson | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Vieira | 40c | 66.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed Chiasson | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Chiasson | 64c | 63.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Vieira | 44c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…f19dbacked Vieira | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…ba29backed Chiasson | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b6…85dfbacked Chiasson | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…9e32backed Chiasson | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…0f90backed Vieira | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…c0f2backed Vieira | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…16f6backed Vieira | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…b6a3backed Vieira | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…05c9backed Chiasson | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…5531backed Vieira | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vieira | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…db38backed Chiasson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…8fcfbacked Chiasson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9075backed Chiasson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3965…499abacked Vieira | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…5776backed Chiasson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…b90dbacked Chiasson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…9596backed Chiasson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…1668backed Vieira | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…2fd1backed Chiasson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…0b57backed Vieira | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9d75backed Vieira | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…eaddbacked Chiasson | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…e8e6backed Vieira | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…5377backed Vieira | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Vieira | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367d…c9c9backed Vieira | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…1ec8backed Vieira | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…aea2backed Chiasson | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…f961backed Vieira | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…ba30backed Chiasson | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6595…d894backed Vieira | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…712ebacked Chiasson | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…d055backed Chiasson | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…04a2backed Vieira | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vieira vs. Chiassonthis page
- Dos Santos vs. ArdeleanArdelean won
- Filho vs. NascimentoNascimento won
- Gamrot vs. KleinGamrot won
- Goff vs. BrahimajBrahimaj won
- Holobaugh vs. LeavittLeavitt won
- Jacoby vs. LopesJacoby won
- Reese vs. TodorovićReese won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.