WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x126268ab3bd7d7f3a57dd1c56054e4da8e6b2b7a9c81b63d35eb47e376cf825f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Dream, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 10c | 4,275$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.91 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dream | 48c | 3,480$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.78 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Fever | 52c | 1,403$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 52c | 1,093$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.61 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Fever | 57c | 887.37$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.56 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Dream | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 39c | 453$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Fever | 51c | 444$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Fever | 51c | 372.92$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Fever | 50c | 338$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dream | 44c | 335.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Fever | 53c | 319.36$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dream | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fever | 51c | 213$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…6441backed Fever | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 52c | 192.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dream | 49c | 156$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 48c | 131.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Fever | 54c | 130.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Dream | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dream | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Fever | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Fever | 54c | 92.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Fever | 52c | 87.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dream | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Fever | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Fever | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Fever | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Dream | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Dream | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.