MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4737ebf0f5ea0e824df22c5c0d518755d7b29f55c62d25929342822f406c43b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Royals | 48c | 446,284$215,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215,904.8 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 52c | 80,710$42,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,672.14 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 52c | 50,000$26,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mets | 52c | 40,000$20,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 51c | 30,090$15,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,654 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mets | 51c | 24,855$12,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,178.95 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 52c | 22,222$11,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,666.56 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Mets | 53c | 21,276$11,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.72 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mets | 52c | 19,856$10,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,530.88 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 52c | 18,257$9,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,854.83 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mets | 75c | 16,689$12,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185.4 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 52c | 10,500$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,990 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 53c | 6,683$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 51c | 3,941$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.53 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets | 55c | 3,457$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.65 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mets | 52c | 2,960$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.8 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 51c | 2,330$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Royals | 23c | 1,950$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.72 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 53c | 1,949$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.86 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Mets | 78c | 1,657$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.57 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 34c | 1,620$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 24c | 1,253$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 53c | 1,213$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.88 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…bc55backed Royals | 46c | 1,121$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4743backed Mets | 54c | 1,121$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Mets | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Mets | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.04 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Royals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Royals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Mets | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Royals | 54c | 927.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mets | 54c | 921.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.11 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 48c | 900$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 46c | 816.12$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.42 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 27c | 809.88$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 45c | 743.42$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mets | 65c | 578.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mets | 54c | 555.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Mets | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 55c | 411.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 75c | 405.33$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 62c | 402.52$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 25c | 394.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Mets | 55c | 312.53$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mets | 75c | 309.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…3a05backed Royals | 47c | 306$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Royals | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…d805backed Mets | 55c | 294$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64eb…6748backed Royals | 47c | 273$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 39c | 265.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Mets | 53c | 256.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…9f4dbacked Royals | 47c | 249$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…25f8backed Mets | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 46c | 217.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…0806backed Mets | 54c | 205$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5474…4860backed Royals | 47c | 202$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…55cfbacked Mets | 55c | 193$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 55c | 181.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 45c | 180.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 56c | 178.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Royals | 49c | 163.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Royals | 30c | 163.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 50c | 147.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mets | 60c | 136$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…452fbacked Mets | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 46c | 112.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mets | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mets | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Royals | 53c | 109$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Royals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mets | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Royals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Mets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Mets | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…f9eebacked Mets | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mets | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 22c | 92.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Royals | 48c | 84.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Mets | 78c | 77.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mets | 71c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…d22fbacked Mets | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.