TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Rangers, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$211,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Mariners45c71,892$32,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,668.1512043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Rangers55c45,200$24,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,86022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners47c25,012$11,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,216.418837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rangers56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9824553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers55c8,100$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners53c6,595$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.8521767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rangers50c6,484$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.9654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers55c4,912$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.4425551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers56c4,385$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.722,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mariners57c4,265$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.9517156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners73c2,696$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.8786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mariners44c2,667$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.4370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rangers47c2,556$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.9838444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers40c2,320$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.92,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Rangers35c2,025$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Rangers55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.979843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers56c1,820$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rangers11c1,819$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Mariners42c1,543$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.124248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Rangers55c1,450$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.514446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers55c1,250$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Mariners44c1,186$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.1640152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners65c1,041$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.944,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers57c962.62$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers51c917.04$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.29,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mariners43c900$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51338249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Rangers56c866.12$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.0312552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Rangers56c835.68$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9811449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers56c802.58$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.371,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef69…a854backed Rangers40c790.25$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.554461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mariners59c673$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.066,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Mariners43c650$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.55947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners50c595.38$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3841747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rangers2c565$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.884754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers29c562.16$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Rangers57c500$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28624253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mariners43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mariners43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers34c447.16$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rangers56c445$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.226056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Mariners55c439$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.555050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers59c429.53$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a5…1e74backed Rangers24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rangers49c400.29$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.151151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers53c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mariners75c390$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mariners42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Mariners37c342.03$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7934550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Mariners44c315.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1531244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mariners65c308.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.439160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Rangers8c304.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1816725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners43c302$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.141,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3342452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Rangers14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Mariners44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1406553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners43c238.36$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8743247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Rangers60c232.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners43c229.45$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.361,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…56ecbacked Rangers23c227.92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Mariners44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Mariners44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.276960.9%42 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Mariners45c224.04$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8745749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Rangers56c219.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.28253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Rangers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dde…8a88backed Rangers47c216.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3110451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mariners44c215.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6751backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…5b02backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5936…4c34backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145250%26 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…d95cbacked Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…ca51backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dfb…18d9backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…1e7abacked Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee1…a478backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0900…ced0backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe96b…3394backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145062%31 W · 19 L+7.4wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa09e…0883backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fd…1753backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…70c6backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33d6…e499backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145149%25 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d0…9310backed Rangers57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145337.7%20 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e7f…8250backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0570…752cbacked Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd69…8706backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6248…32d7backed Mariners43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145050%25 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.