MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb426b770f643317e2ac291c85ff04b9e5675233a2b6e2e39526a84d4fe6ba3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,465,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,508,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,465,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Tigers | 52c | 947,129$489,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489,209.23 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 48c | 431,525$207,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,866.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 49c | 170,398$82,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,745.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Mariners | 49c | 80,020$39,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,810.2 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 49c | 61,205$30,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,929.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 48c | 52,500$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,300 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mariners | 49c | 50,074$24,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,404.54 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Tigers | 36c | 47,988$17,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,370.1 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 49c | 44,810$22,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,656.92 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Mariners | 49c | 35,943$17,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,331.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mariners | 48c | 25,735$12,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,382.2 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mariners | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 47c | 18,413$8,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,793.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 50c | 17,568$8,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,784.71 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 48c | 16,600$7,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,631.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers | 51c | 16,241$8,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,254.61 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 48c | 15,714$7,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,140.18 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Tigers | 52c | 15,385$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 48c | 14,711$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,633.4 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 37c | 14,641$5,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,370.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 48c | 13,790$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,138.79 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 48c | 12,955$6,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.59 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 48c | 11,800$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,136 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 48c | 9,455$4,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.66 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Tigers | 66c | 8,387$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Tigers | 69c | 6,747$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.69 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 48c | 6,664$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Tigers | 54c | 5,403$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 48c | 5,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 47c | 4,795$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 33c | 4,586$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.72 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Tigers | 53c | 4,262$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mariners | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 52c | 3,852$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 52c | 3,809$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.72 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 54c | 3,442$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.52 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 6c | 3,226$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Tigers | 52c | 3,105$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 49c | 2,448$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.48 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Tigers | 33c | 2,189$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.98 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Mariners | 47c | 2,143$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Tigers | 1c | 2,128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 4c | 2,048$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Tigers | 51c | 2,011$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.6 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Tigers | 45c | 1,988$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers | 52c | 1,898$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.74 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Mariners | 49c | 1,677$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.34 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Mariners | 49c | 1,640$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.66 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Tigers | 52c | 1,590$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Tigers | 15c | 1,508$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Tigers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Tigers | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…8d4bbacked Tigers | 48c | 1,375$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Tigers | 1c | 1,349$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Mariners | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 1c | 1,249$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…7351backed Mariners | 46c | 1,145$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…f32ebacked Tigers | 54c | 1,145$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 46c | 1,080$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.59 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mariners | 49c | 1,061$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Tigers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Tigers | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Tigers | 53c | 982.64$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 55c | 960.31$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.06 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Tigers | 3c | 931.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 56c | 874.09$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Tigers | 26c | 860.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Mariners | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 2c | 796.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Mariners | 50c | 784.08$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.04 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 4c | 736.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 55c | 705.07$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Tigers | 10c | 700$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 52c | 657.36$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers | 55c | 629.05$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…230fbacked Mariners | 51c | 587.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Tigers | 64c | 569.92$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Tigers | 52c | 501.37$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Tigers | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 54c | 470.94$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 46c | 470.94$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.31 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Tigers | 47c | 449.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 47c | 424.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.17 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Mariners | 48c | 420.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mariners | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…0a02backed Tigers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers | 63c | 394.12$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 23c | 382.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 48c | 356.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Mariners | 49c | 340.48$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.06 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b532backed Tigers | 52c | 337.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 62c | 336.79$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.26 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Tigers | 16c | 326.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 47c | 321.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 66c | 320$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.