MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf2cd957bd4b94bf89d34361547236d01696f71a1dea2a2c14057f79165541c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 43c | 37,886$16,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,595.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers | 57c | 25,453$14,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,508.08 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Tigers | 57c | 23,847$13,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,592.83 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Tigers | 21c | 19,849$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.23 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 42c | 19,811$8,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,490.22 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins | 79c | 14,825$11,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.19 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Tigers | 55c | 13,380$7,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,359 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Twins | 45c | 8,181$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.26 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers | 58c | 8,111$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.72 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 44c | 7,269$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.13 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 76c | 7,200$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.62 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Tigers | 57c | 5,650$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.49 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 43c | 5,542$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.13 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Twins | 43c | 5,012$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.76 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Twins | 43c | 3,808$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.37 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Tigers | 57c | 3,741$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.37 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 43c | 3,720$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Tigers | 58c | 2,919$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 56c | 2,903$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.75 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Twins | 40c | 2,742$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.3 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 44c | 2,689$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.78 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Tigers | 57c | 2,580$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.82 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 59c | 2,335$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.65 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Twins | 43c | 2,095$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 17c | 1,759$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tigers | 57c | 1,750$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers | 44c | 1,544$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.52 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71b…38b4backed Twins | 45c | 1,467$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Tigers | 56c | 1,453$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.76 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Tigers | 55c | 1,424$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…7e98backed Tigers | 58c | 1,410$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…0717backed Tigers | 56c | 1,329$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Tigers | 46c | 1,315$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Tigers | 55c | 1,309$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…2c03backed Twins | 45c | 1,267$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…9a99backed Twins | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…696fbacked Twins | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Tigers | 58c | 1,130$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 57c | 1,100$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.98 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers | 26c | 1,085$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.97 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…b325backed Tigers | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Tigers | 58c | 1,063$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.47 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 44c | 1,058$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 70c | 1,054$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.03 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Tigers | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 43c | 1,002$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.88 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 32c | 1,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.25 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tigers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Tigers | 3c | 999.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…931bbacked Twins | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 12c | 928.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Twins | 68c | 843.07$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Twins | 43c | 793.02$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tigers | 37c | 721.8$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.41 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tigers | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Tigers | 59c | 698.41$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.06 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Twins | 43c | 696.14$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…9b23backed Tigers | 57c | 682.05$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…4596backed Twins | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tigers | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Twins | 43c | 587.02$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.6 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Tigers | 30c | 577.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers | 21c | 568.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 73c | 556.78$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…6b4dbacked Twins | 44c | 541$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Twins | 66c | 532.72$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…1d77backed Tigers | 56c | 529$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…7892backed Tigers | 56c | 521$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…6375backed Twins | 44c | 509$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…9d9ebacked Twins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Tigers | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Tigers | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Twins | 43c | 499.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.83 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 44c | 499.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Twins | 43c | 496.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.77 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aad…790dbacked Twins | 44c | 462$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Tigers | 56c | 439.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Twins | 77c | 426.11$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 41c | 421.95$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…7911backed Twins | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 43c | 399.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 44c | 396$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 58c | 390.86$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 56c | 373.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 43c | 369.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.44 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Tigers | 31c | 354.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 43c | 350$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Tigers | 56c | 328.56$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tigers | 32c | 316.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tigers | 58c | 305.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Twins | 44c | 300.44$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d55…7510backed Twins | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Twins | 43c | 297.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Tigers | 57c | 289.23$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Tigers | 56c | 275.42$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Twins | 43c | 264.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.