TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners53c25,818$13,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,657.2918837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mariners28c9,676$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.6754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Mariners57c8,768$4,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.264050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Mariners43c8,686$3,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,751.8738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers52c8,145$4,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.389,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Rangers60c7,878$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,17125454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…79e6backed Mariners67c7,836$5,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,283.353354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mariners52c7,552$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,926.8114648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners29c6,675$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.971,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners52c6,285$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.791,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers42c6,254$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.0625551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Rangers49c5,010$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.5913352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Rangers46c4,481$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.177455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mariners64c3,839$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.911,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners13c3,431$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers46c3,202$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.1641747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Mariners54c3,150$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7015851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers45c3,150$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.31,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers42c3,110$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.85,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners13c3,064$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Rangers46c3,044$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.765947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers45c3,035$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.082,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Mariners43c3,005$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.3112924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners59c2,730$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.8332852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Mariners37c2,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers42c2,620$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.846,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Rangers73c2,499$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.2814966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Mariners49c2,424$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.394151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rangers45c2,412$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.0824553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners57c2,398$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.2121246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Rangers47c2,365$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.5816347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners27c2,220$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8721767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers44c2,199$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.922,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Rangers48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3313553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers47c2,000$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.0993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Mariners54c1,950$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.996553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers59c1,659$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.24,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Rangers67c1,636$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.738366.3%55 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Mariners50c1,606$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.0420850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners25c1,550$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.4243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners54c1,444$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.8443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners70c1,378$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.0280955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3b…14fcbacked Mariners12c1,327$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mariners53c1,315$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.1550852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mariners54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70238249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners31c1,294$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Rangers45c1,156$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.9711449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Rangers47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9228042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rangers46c999.97$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Rangers46c980$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.24955.1%27 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked Rangers77c949.29$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.34580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rangers46c893.14$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2938949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners6c864$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Rangers76c846.69$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.327143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Mariners9c809.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.069151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddce…6c35backed Rangers76c791.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.84650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers47c778.71$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.7270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Mariners67c750.87$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.1932754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Rangers80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Rangers44c749.99$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff1…3f4fbacked Mariners54c700$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3785834.5%20 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Mariners11c676.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers44c673$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Mariners60c622.66$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8411331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Mariners55c605.45$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3332740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Mariners37c600.34$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.019550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Mariners56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33615644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Rangers46c600$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32733140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Mariners65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Rangers66c579.57$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.245429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mariners27c557.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Rangers36c549.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9315745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2653,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Mariners58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Mariners54c461.11$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24912552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Mariners54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners10c374.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.514754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mariners59c359.32$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21212248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked Mariners53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.57940.5%32 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Rangers67c308.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7141751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df4…342cbacked Rangers45c278.77$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.321250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc607…7958backed Mariners51c265$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners53c261.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.581,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Rangers64c258.29$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2618236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mariners54c248.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Rangers46c242.7$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0414654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf002…047fbacked Mariners67c240.85$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3716851.8%87 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Mariners55c235.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5819052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Rangers73c235$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.453951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Rangers35c220$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1435232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers47c213.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.232,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Mariners64c208.72$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8612868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mariners70c207$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8960052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.