TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Diamondbacks, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 553 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks19c15,478$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95629240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Angels59c7,907$4,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.2786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Diamondbacks39c6,436$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks47c4,248$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels52c3,729$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.091,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Angels57c2,896$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.791,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels53c2,860$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.82,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Diamondbacks36c2,693$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3117927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Diamondbacks47c2,430$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.27450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed Diamondbacks2c2,317$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.764610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Angels53c2,300$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08138249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks1c1,935$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.718762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Diamondbacks43c1,843$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels68c1,708$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.239,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Diamondbacks48c1,639$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.5319452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks48c1,329$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.035,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c23…f642backed Angels50c1,230$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.651225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c38…08bdbacked Diamondbacks50c1,230$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks33c1,223$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Angels52c999.98$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks40c988.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks16c959.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.127733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks10c897.15$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3493240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Diamondbacks11c891.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1310527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Angels67c889$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.856,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks3c756.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.345852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks2c721.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.945053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Diamondbacks23c719.02$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7111961.3%73 W · 46 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Diamondbacks47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Angels72c627.09$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9743946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Angels53c599.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Angels53c564$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Diamondbacks57c508$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.284252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Diamondbacks47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23530842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks29c417.45$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9430928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks40c400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Diamondbacks47c396.83$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18814148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Angels54c390.22$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2257545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Angels54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3791749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks29c362.61$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.411,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Angels53c349.19$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Angels68c339.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3938743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks45c262.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.961,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Diamondbacks7c239.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks19c236.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4541747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed Diamondbacks50c201.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Angels54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9256440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Diamondbacks31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6124751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30be…3566backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9f…8483backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf716…c440backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x386c…bc0dbacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c2…0705backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…1a07backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5322…6b5fbacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9ee…7fb2backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…bd2ebacked Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943271.9%23 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e4b…d536backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4f…2737backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…18cfbacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0669…8717backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc909…6393backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa51b…8938backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaef2…95adbacked Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a7…b4c8backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf5…ee08backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e24…ab78backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7811…36d3backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a54…7d39backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafbd…67aebacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb75…bd65backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1379backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…06b5backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…88d1backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25a5…81f4backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d59…569ebacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e57…836cbacked Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…8149backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3601…43dfbacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcd…7ec6backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc0…8c53backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28d5…7f11backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133d…0559backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f02…8dcebacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…2883backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x411f…5a20backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb72d…aa23backed Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc312…d500backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe807…344ebacked Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+49.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12de…d4b5backed Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1775…52efbacked Angels53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26c…12acbacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a1…8edfbacked Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.