MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x935146430fc4d84437bb026a613d98e94655588de0e145a87549ab210af0d860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Rockies, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Rockies | 39c | 5,699$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 23c | 5,188$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.87 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Reds | 72c | 4,882$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.2 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 26c | 3,841$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.17 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 28c | 3,627$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies | 53c | 2,691$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Reds | 72c | 2,486$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.08 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 73c | 2,309$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Reds | 43c | 2,308$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.69 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 53c | 2,022$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.42 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rockies | 64c | 2,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.51 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Rockies | 49c | 1,948$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.35 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 67c | 1,922$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.54 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 21c | 1,811$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.02 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 58c | 1,733$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.76 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 72c | 1,696$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.96 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 17c | 1,050$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 71c | 925.95$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.52 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Reds | 65c | 912.06$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.06 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 56c | 774.69$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.26 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 72c | 710.72$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Rockies | 28c | 700.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Reds | 73c | 689.78$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Rockies | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rockies | 26c | 646.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Reds | 45c | 643.93$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.67 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rockies | 28c | 552.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Reds | 72c | 548.68$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rockies | 70c | 499.81$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 37c | 481.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.64 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies | 35c | 474.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Reds | 73c | 411.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Reds | 70c | 367.17$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.21 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…b78bbacked Rockies | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Rockies | 25c | 328.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Reds | 52c | 318.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 73c | 285.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 74c | 270.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 53c | 251.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 52c | 243.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Reds | 72c | 240.81$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rockies | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Rockies | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Reds | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 74c | 187.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 73c | 172$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 12c | 168.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Rockies | 25c | 138.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Reds | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 27c | 131.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Rockies | 80c | 125.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Reds | 41c | 119.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 72c | 114.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Rockies | 47c | 105.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Rockies | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…a7d0backed Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Rockies | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Reds | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Rockies | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Reds | 28c | 97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Reds | 73c | 96.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed Reds | 31c | 87.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Reds | 72c | 84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Reds | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rockies | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Reds | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rockies | 52c | 73.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rockies | 29c | 73.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rockies | 56c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rockies | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…5260backed Reds | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Rockies | 33c | 60.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Reds | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe47…c21bbacked Reds | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 71c | 57.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Rockies | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked Rockies | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Reds | 52c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockies | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 52c | 47.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Reds | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Rockies | 63c | 45.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Reds | 26c | 44.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Reds | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 28c | 44.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rockies | 27c | 42.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rockies | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Reds | 49c | 40.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Rockies | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.