MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edf19c7a2889d4dd0cf502954cd10015c4a05e9dfd485ecc3eb0d5687146880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Red Sox, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 20,310$10,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,089.01 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 50c | 17,650$8,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,825 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Twins | 51c | 9,768$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,766.85 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Sox | 61c | 7,254$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.67 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 37c | 5,858$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 61c | 4,733$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.71 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Twins | 49c | 4,286$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.62 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Red Sox | 38c | 4,200$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 60c | 4,049$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Red Sox | 50c | 4,011$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 42c | 2,664$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.08 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Twins | 70c | 2,071$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.39 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Twins | 14c | 1,780$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.55 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 50c | 1,774$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Twins | 53c | 1,521$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.21 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Twins | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.98 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 51c | 1,434$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.79 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Twins | 62c | 1,424$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.76 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 47c | 1,310$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 37c | 1,239$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.21 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 61c | 1,195$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Twins | 50c | 1,125$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.35 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…dd06backed Twins | 57c | 1,061$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Red Sox | 37c | 978.52$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.33 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Twins | 50c | 969.09$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.55 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 48c | 925$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.25 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 61c | 841.65$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.04 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Twins | 49c | 749.95$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Red Sox | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Red Sox | 50c | 661.8$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.9 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 50c | 639.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 608.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Twins | 18c | 558.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.09 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Red Sox | 58c | 475.14$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 40c | 425.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Red Sox | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 24c | 411.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Twins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Red Sox | 49c | 390.21$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 42c | 366.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox | 52c | 356.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…9150backed Twins | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Red Sox | 66c | 325.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Twins | 61c | 320.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Twins | 61c | 320.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Twins | 52c | 309$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…8805backed Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Twins | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox | 50c | 285.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Twins | 39c | 280.06$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Twins | 51c | 254.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 50c | 240.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 27c | 237.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Twins | 51c | 236.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 233.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Twins | 59c | 223$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 76c | 200.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Twins | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 194.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…f27abacked Twins | 52c | 192.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Red Sox | 66c | 183.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Red Sox | 50c | 156.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Red Sox | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 59c | 145.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Twins | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Red Sox | 14c | 141.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Twins | 29c | 139.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…c894backed Red Sox | 50c | 138.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…1e67backed Twins | 51c | 132.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Red Sox | 51c | 128$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…9a59backed Red Sox | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Twins | 69c | 124.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…fd30backed Twins | 51c | 124.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…0cb6backed Twins | 51c | 113.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Twins | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Twins | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox | 42c | 101.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Red Sox | 46c | 100.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…169fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 100.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Red Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.