MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc32da3d1711ad2e6aec2e4a70d537a3919e70e6a42dd864bcf9520ad8ede04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Royals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $573,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $573,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Royals | 52c | 386,491$200,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,653.69 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 48c | 281,744$135,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146,506.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 49c | 39,180$19,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,018.69 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Marlins | 78c | 36,833$28,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,259.13 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Royals | 52c | 19,219$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,993.77 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 64c | 19,098$12,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,928.6 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 44c | 13,353$5,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.09 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 49c | 13,046$6,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,653.22 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 49c | 11,233$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Royals | 19c | 10,658$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Royals | 59c | 9,145$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.42 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Marlins | 1c | 7,990$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,910.1 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 49c | 6,659$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 28c | 4,280$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 40c | 3,420$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 14c | 3,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.97 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 79c | 2,701$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.55 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Royals | 69c | 2,540$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.5 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 67c | 2,520$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.25 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Marlins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc712…450ebacked Marlins | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 62c | 1,623$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.4 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 68c | 1,572$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…dcfbbacked Royals | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…08bdbacked Marlins | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Marlins | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Royals | 42c | 1,155$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Royals | 52c | 1,131$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.84 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 52c | 933.38$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.36 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 22c | 818.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.95 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 8c | 800$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Marlins | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 14c | 724.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 46c | 665.22$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 5c | 659$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Royals | 39c | 617.32$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.26 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 51c | 601.17$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Marlins | 54c | 484.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 44c | 420$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Marlins | 47c | 382.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Marlins | 42c | 377.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Royals | 5c | 365.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 19c | 364.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Marlins | 39c | 351.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.71 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…dfe2backed Marlins | 65c | 334.85$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Royals | 5c | 286.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 53c | 279.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Royals | 30c | 270$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Marlins | 42c | 265.8$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 58c | 241$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Marlins | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Royals | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Royals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 56c | 196.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Marlins | 44c | 196.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 49c | 191$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 53c | 189.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Royals | 73c | 187.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Royals | 52c | 182.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 21c | 174$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 43c | 170$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Royals | 23c | 154.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Marlins | 61c | 131.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Marlins | 16c | 130.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Royals | 16c | 126.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c2…5b6bbacked Marlins | 45c | 122$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…91f4backed Royals | 55c | 122$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Royals | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7ceabacked Royals | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddd…b13cbacked Marlins | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 29c | 102.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Royals | 52c | 101.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Royals | 52c | 100.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Royals | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Royals | 42c | 95.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 49c | 93.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 46c | 87.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Royals | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Marlins | 67c | 86.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Marlins | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Royals | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Royals | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 49c | 66.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Marlins | 46c | 65.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Marlins | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 46c | 46.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Royals | 51c | 45.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.