TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Giants, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$368,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$379,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Pirates48c246,145$117,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,453.212043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants53c88,000$46,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,51086751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Giants52c73,750$38,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,35022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants52c24,500$12,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,74048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Giants52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Giants52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants52c13,200$6,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8641,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Pirates23c7,841$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,029.9454345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Giants54c7,806$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,215.2816551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pirates46c7,264$3,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.3150852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Giants56c4,780$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.5638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates35c4,486$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.552,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Giants65c4,173$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716.691,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9834245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants52c2,886$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.992,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Giants53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Giants79c2,305$1,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.952142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Giants53c2,180$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.2116352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates47c2,130$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.8939041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants52c2,020$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.7573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Giants54c1,855$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca22…96ecbacked Giants56c1,670$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d5…31c3backed Pirates44c1,636$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Giants76c1,400$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.2643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb80a…80febacked Pirates44c1,398$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Giants54c1,394$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.6111449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e2…89babacked Giants56c1,364$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Pirates49c1,288$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62b0…029ebacked Pirates47c1,268$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8cd…844dbacked Giants54c1,194$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Pirates12c1,139$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.8527213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates48c1,013$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.8160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Pirates47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…e62cbacked Giants57c891.03$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates46c870.91$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4671,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f55…0f1bbacked Pirates49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Giants54c808.15$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.434550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants58c720.81$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.764,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Giants74c713.06$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Pirates39c705.23$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.496,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates43c703.25$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8550843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants65c676.52$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.561,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates46c649.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35116349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Giants4c629.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.964754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31831347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2e…52bcbacked Pirates44c570$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+55.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…aacdbacked Giants56c555$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e08…d210backed Giants56c535$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c33…d435backed Pirates44c520$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Giants63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31516947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1275…5b87backed Pirates58c499.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8512924.8%32 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Giants48c499.53$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.91,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Giants70c493.14$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.6532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Giants53c464.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4412552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Giants77c458$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x206a…8e4fbacked Pirates47c445$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.855100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Pirates47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5321242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Giants53c415$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.956347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9d…9de8backed Pirates25c404$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3043218.8%6 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Pirates47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Giants55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22024253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Giants78c392.87$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.4411036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Giants21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0190…4778backed Giants53c359.32$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates48c348$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates47c341.1$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7843247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants53c334.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.551,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants63c318.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Pirates37c315.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Giants53c304.39$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.833140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked Giants53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1597940.5%32 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Giants53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15918243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates46c278.09$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1726949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates47c272.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.692,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3b…14fcbacked Giants57c255.25$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c2…faa6backed Giants54c255$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Giants52c254$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0825453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Giants71c244.93$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.160052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Giants75c240$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0819052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Giants73c240$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.28454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates16c237.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.51,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Giants64c233.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1214565.5%95 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Giants66c230$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9512868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Giants53c229.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.881,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed Giants6c219.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Giants69c218.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1627458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants52c216.47$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.561,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates30c213.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.919,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7722351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Pirates47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7725551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pirates48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Giants74c208$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.131547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates38c205.37$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pirates10c204.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.081,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10856440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.