MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f178ab545901b38a2180dfaa4146ac603ed131963bf39d71cc33944e7f0190c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Astros, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $822,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Red Sox | 47c | 457,894$215,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,836.87 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 53c | 167,736$88,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,900.18 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Astros | 53c | 90,000$47,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,700 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 53c | 86,678$46,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,139.34 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 47c | 80,000$37,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,399.93 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 53c | 71,075$37,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,975.81 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 53c | 45,945$24,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,515.32 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Red Sox | 47c | 32,792$15,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,527.79 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 53c | 22,642$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Astros | 54c | 21,700$11,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,718 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 53c | 20,846$11,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,048.38 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Red Sox | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.97 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Astros | 54c | 19,088$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,221.64 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Astros | 54c | 14,769$7,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,927.42 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 53c | 8,300$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Astros | 53c | 8,288$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.63 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Astros | 53c | 8,076$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.4 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Astros | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 39c | 7,971$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 53c | 7,715$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.6 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 53c | 6,564$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 53c | 5,767$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.13 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 50c | 4,729$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.17 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked Astros | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Astros | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Red Sox | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Astros | 53c | 2,770$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.62 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 12c | 2,708$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 52c | 2,655$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Astros | 51c | 2,355$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.81 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…759dbacked Red Sox | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Astros | 52c | 2,297$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.19 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,217$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.27 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 53c | 2,120$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.28 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 26c | 2,116$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Astros | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Astros | 55c | 1,879$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Astros | 54c | 1,795$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Astros | 1c | 1,753$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Astros | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 6c | 1,409$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 52c | 1,363$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Astros | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Red Sox | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 53c | 1,007$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.96 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 20c | 908.4$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Astros | 5c | 838.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Astros | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Astros | 54c | 791$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.14 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 49c | 788$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 53c | 750.08$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.54 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Astros | 50c | 718.19$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.01 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Astros | 54c | 691.87$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…3e8dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 680.14$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…77c4backed Astros | 10c | 679.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 53c | 500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Astros | 53c | 474.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.62 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Astros | 53c | 464.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Astros | 54c | 463.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.15 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 53c | 462.47$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 40c | 460.12$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Astros | 13c | 457.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 7c | 453.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Red Sox | 52c | 400.27$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Astros | 51c | 388.68$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Red Sox | 47c | 378.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Astros | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Astros | 53c | 370.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.42 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…98b9backed Astros | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Astros | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Red Sox | 42c | 356.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 48c | 349.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…7e98backed Astros | 55c | 349.55$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Astros | 47c | 325.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Astros | 48c | 287.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Astros | 53c | 285.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Astros | 20c | 284.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 47c | 279$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Astros | 53c | 253.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 54c | 253$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Astros | 18c | 243.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Red Sox | 48c | 220$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 212.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 48c | 207.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 200.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.