MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d5d718ab0fbbe79f7c51a408b62d42009b9061aded4dd20a726fc31a21b532c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Rockies, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 23c | 8,063$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.68 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockies | 16c | 7,318$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.38 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Cubs | 77c | 3,846$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.36 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 5c | 3,844$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 76c | 1,777$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Rockies | 24c | 1,611$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rockies | 24c | 1,065$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 23c | 1,032$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cubs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 76c | 993.18$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 8c | 971.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Cubs | 77c | 870$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rockies | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies | 24c | 788$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…933dbacked Rockies | 25c | 746.16$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…1a6ebacked Rockies | 25c | 704.48$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 13c | 698.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockies | 17c | 548$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 76c | 505.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…1165backed Rockies | 25c | 486.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 10c | 472.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rockies | 10c | 420$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Cubs | 76c | 375.74$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockies | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…82d1backed Cubs | 76c | 270.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…f07abacked Cubs | 76c | 267.09$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Cubs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…d625backed Cubs | 76c | 259.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 77c | 259.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Cubs | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cubs | 77c | 252.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bc…c8b4backed Cubs | 76c | 252.39$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 24c | 238.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…2c92backed Cubs | 76c | 231.88$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…bccbbacked Cubs | 76c | 224.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…6e89backed Cubs | 76c | 219.63$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…7ccebacked Cubs | 76c | 217.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…950ebacked Cubs | 76c | 212.63$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…dd14backed Rockies | 25c | 212.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…7768backed Rockies | 25c | 183.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…311ebacked Rockies | 25c | 182.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rockies | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Cubs | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rockies | 23c | 103$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…fddebacked Cubs | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…1a55backed Rockies | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 76c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Rockies | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 77c | 81.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Rockies | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…77bdbacked Rockies | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Cubs | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Cubs | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Rockies | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…d2dabacked Cubs | 77c | 70.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rockies | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…bcc3backed Cubs | 77c | 68.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…a0ddbacked Cubs | 77c | 67.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b96bbacked Rockies | 24c | 66.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…37d9backed Rockies | 17c | 65.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cubs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Cubs | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…daafbacked Cubs | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…1d23backed Cubs | 77c | 59.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…5e35backed Rockies | 24c | 59.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Cubs | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…c1afbacked Cubs | 77c | 55.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6b…15bcbacked Cubs | 77c | 54.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Cubs | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f7f4backed Cubs | 77c | 48.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Cubs | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…4a1abacked Cubs | 77c | 38.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 76c | 35.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Cubs | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Cubs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Cubs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Cubs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Cubs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…b6f8backed Cubs | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Cubs | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…e5febacked Cubs | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.