TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Mets, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5fb…84b5backed Yankees64c53,031$34,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,956.686157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets36c28,134$10,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,104.471,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a2…3b96backed Yankees61c27,152$16,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,542.985461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets34c20,978$7,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.492,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Mets40c20,000$7,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,969.9215553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Mets28c17,858$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yankees64c15,528$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,528.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yankees60c10,816$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.924551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mets45c9,192$4,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,105.7539436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Mets37c8,924$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.357437.8%28 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Yankees61c8,065$4,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.5321356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets39c6,808$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.191,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets38c5,521$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.882,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mets31c5,448$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.871,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yankees64c4,999$3,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.579862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Mets39c4,900$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,91111456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets39c4,500$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7551,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Yankees60c4,025$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6121850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mets36c3,861$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.2686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets38c3,665$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.0473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets40c3,466$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.8541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets33c3,305$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.99,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yankees67c2,543$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.6916151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets44c2,249$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.5169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Yankees63c2,243$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.413056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44f8…cf9cbacked Mets32c2,185$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.571010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-85.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Mets38c2,079$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Mets36c2,028$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.6843250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets36c1,995$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7121,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees54c1,926$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.1954048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mets37c1,908$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Mets40c1,729$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Mets39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58537446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Mets35c1,483$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.98543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbba2…5172backed Mets40c1,412$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Mets39c1,370$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.447549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yankees58c1,350$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.414143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Mets27c1,315$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.49944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Mets36c1,276$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mets5c1,204$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.371,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02e…88d5backed Mets33c1,132$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef57…90c1backed Mets30c1,007$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Yankees60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yankees61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Mets40c988$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.23250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees66c934.64$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.22,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mets34c902.99$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9870841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de2…d932backed Mets26c837.62$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.671,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98f…a7b9backed Yankees67c811.85$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.581566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Mets40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Mets38c674.55$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3310550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees60c659.98$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Mets31c646.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007548%36 W · 39 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Mets39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Mets47c637.34$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4130928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed Mets37c564$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.562454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mets39c533.21$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9531248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yankees59c527.87$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.877650%38 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yankees57c500.69$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.691,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yankees60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Mets40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets33c433.21$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.284,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Mets33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Yankees56c392.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8612347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mets38c387.39$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2145248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Mets40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Mets39c362.58$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4122142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Yankees58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8320150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Yankees70c343.68$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9415644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Yankees62c322.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1938455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Mets38c321.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3423753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Yankees62c306.79$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.793455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x188d…6583backed Mets33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mets33c300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mets37c291.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeba5…040bbacked Mets33c271.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.82650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8095…97b6backed Mets45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…9236backed Yankees71c264.66$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.493743.2%16 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Mets30c263.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4bd…8e10backed Mets12c225.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0170%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Yankees66c219.83$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7410858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21c…5836backed Yankees70c211.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…4b45backed Yankees54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yankees61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7223852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd2…17d9backed Mets31c192.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a8…fb9dbacked Mets36c189.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-69.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Yankees61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Yankees61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9328053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0646backed Yankees63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Mets40c154.46$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2646753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc360…0c46backed Yankees65c153.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.031060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…6733backed Yankees71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Mets36c137.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503925.6%10 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…e0e1backed Yankees62c136$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Mets25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mets38c118.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9249450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.