NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dcfc0887edf68f3446a4483127ac38ba37e41a6259aaf8f998e641fa16e092b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 21,252$12,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,988.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Sabres | 42c | 18,605$7,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,814.25 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres | 41c | 15,448$6,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.96 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 8,622$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 5,653$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.2 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.68 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Sabres | 43c | 3,111$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.73 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,918$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Sabres | 41c | 2,468$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.01 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,872$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.65 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,552$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.32 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,193$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.15 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Sabres | 43c | 1,139$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.77 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Sabres | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 862$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.42 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 41c | 728.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.86 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 32c | 673.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 593.83$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 533.54$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.09 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…b38abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 494.92$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Sabres | 42c | 360.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Sabres | 40c | 345.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 342.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…a546backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 295.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 41c | 254.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 250.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 241.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…98b0backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 213.56$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…59a2backed Sabres | 42c | 209.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…21b2backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…1176backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…53f2backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…384ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…d0aabacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…57a3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…265dbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…e036backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc55a…bdfebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…f1fabacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…06e6backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…5cfbbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9090…77bbbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…f294backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf5…f172backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…770ebacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +7.6wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…655cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…4af0backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…c429backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…8e2cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x038e…1d43backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…78bbbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…5a69backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b5…8fb9backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999c…eeb8backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb6…ae02backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…1e4abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e24…ab78backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…0559backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…cff7backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…599bbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…8d13backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…514bbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…dba6backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…6a44backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc22…a230backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…e9fabacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2595…88bcbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…2caebacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4831…0bd3backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…1bcfbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…f174backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…8828backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…b3fbbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…9de3backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…38ecbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…86e7backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…7a7bbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…579cbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd5…559cbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…1363backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72f…8edbbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…875abacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc108…3f42backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…1264backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c94…83d4backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…e74bbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…c4f6backed Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…381fbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…5a4bbacked Sabres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…a05cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.