TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Predatorsof Stars, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 743 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaeb7…d83abacked Stars60c47,330$28,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,398333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f4…b0bfbacked Predators40c47,330$18,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,3981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars60c10,964$6,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,617.551,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Predators39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.9916645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Predators39c3,790$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.311,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Predators39c3,352$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.2149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Stars60c3,033$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.82040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aec…0f2dbacked Predators40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Predators40c2,502$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.4483652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Predators39c2,224$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.4213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Stars61c2,209$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.637361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.7897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Stars78c1,958$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.5811157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Predators38c1,602$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.6637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5a61backed Stars60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Stars13c1,485$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8521620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Predators35c1,464$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.471,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef3…d60ebacked Predators39c1,369$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Predators39c1,116$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.661030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars26c1,045$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.21,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Stars61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61050857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Stars60c998.98$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.3935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Predators74c980.54$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9436242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Predators40c968.6$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.1664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x652a…fd23backed Predators41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc824…f574backed Predators39c896.89$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.11250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Stars61c816.76$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.224841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Predators39c813.05$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Stars63c770$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.14650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Predators40c769.67$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators43c625.09$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.343,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars39c609.79$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3838…1cd5backed Stars60c609.37$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1390…d151backed Predators41c596.26$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked Predators73c565.21$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.329863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb80a…80febacked Stars61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Predators38c413$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0610627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb7e…0be4backed Stars61c408.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-54.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f0f…5f89backed Predators41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2361030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars59c390.04$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4351044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Predators40c390$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2343148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Stars61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Predators40c325$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19530549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Predators39c300.01$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18311354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Predators39c274.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Predators40c253.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Predators40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Predators41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.915246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Predators61c236.34$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.71,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fe…f453backed Predators41c235.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Predators40c225.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.586850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d5…d0aabacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…e036backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xede0…5cfbbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9240…8e7ebacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+44.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9090…77bbbacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbf5…f172backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202475%18 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+59.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc007…770ebacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202382.6%19 W · 4 L+7.6wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+77.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xeabf…655cbacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab2…4af0backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea25…c429backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…78bbbacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21cf…a38ebacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef2…95adbacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e24…ab78backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204139%16 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfcd…7ec6backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e1f…ce4ebacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133d…0559backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1775…52efbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdff5…2c9dbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xebe0…d317backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b69…cff7backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39df…0f16backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8256…599bbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c23…362cbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c0…8d13backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203129%9 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d16…514bbacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27bd…dba6backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2151…6a44backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc5…5880backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc22…a230backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb572…c062backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf62…e9fabacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc0…5ca6backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2595…88bcbacked Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed7d…d047backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb046…2317backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e46…6cb1backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86a2…a2dabacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35a…128bbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed67…2caebacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a5…ace1backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4831…0bd3backed Stars60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3cb…c64bbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34f3…1bcfbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f3…4169backed Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6076…25bcbacked Predators40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.