Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bea701c4e4fe2cc6a58fdf12872de78ed50e2afe376aa3f8bcc19ba6ddb6442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 73c | 13,794$10,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.05 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 77c | 11,577$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.32 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 27c | 8,500$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.97 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 28c | 7,552$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.25 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 26c | 6,898$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.81 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 71c | 6,690$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.14 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 71c | 5,511$3,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.19 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 11c | 4,718$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.46 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 70c | 4,119$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 29c | 3,867$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.73 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 25c | 3,778$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.61 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 24c | 3,607$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.38 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed No | 1c | 3,452$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 74c | 3,000$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.85 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 13c | 2,993$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.27 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 72c | 2,850$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.18 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 29c | 2,815$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 2,746$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.73 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 29c | 2,478$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.45 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 73c | 2,201$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Yes | 73c | 1,851$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 29c | 1,722$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.27 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 71c | 1,690$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,479$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.88 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 28c | 1,238$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.67 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 73c | 1,004$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 73c | 943.3$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.69 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed No | 26c | 861.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 71c | 859.03$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 73c | 815.01$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 28c | 814.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 75c | 800.22$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 29c | 794.83$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.21 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 72c | 750.44$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 72c | 693.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 72c | 693$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 29c | 664.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 29c | 641.44$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 29c | 617.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8c…ef09backed No | 26c | 615$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 27c | 600$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…107abacked Yes | 72c | 570.47$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 30c | 564.42$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.56 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 26c | 489.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 25c | 405.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 29c | 402.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 29c | 282$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…6b34backed No | 29c | 261.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…fa37backed No | 31c | 246.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…8fa6backed No | 30c | 245.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 73c | 238.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…1ddabacked No | 26c | 202.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 28c | 198.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…b7a3backed Yes | 74c | 192.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…c821backed Yes | 71c | 174.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…1873backed No | 30c | 173.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4279…05cabacked Yes | 71c | 170.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…4e9cbacked Yes | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked No | 31c | 162.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…b983backed No | 29c | 159.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…c783backed No | 28c | 153.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…7f0bbacked No | 30c | 149$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e75…a01cbacked No | 29c | 147.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 142.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…20a3backed No | 30c | 140.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 71c | 140.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…7135backed Yes | 71c | 111.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…1c65backed Yes | 72c | 107.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7b…d741backed Yes | 71c | 101.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 29c | 99.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 72c | 99.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…4709backed Yes | 71c | 90.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…8807backed Yes | 70c | 89.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…bd12backed Yes | 72c | 89.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…186ebacked No | 30c | 86.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…d540backed Yes | 71c | 82.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2025-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.