MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787fe59109b5c815922f55bf2b264e2061c07d2f68dc423c858d0d7868e2392e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Marlins, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Marlins | 32c | 26,199$8,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,271.75 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 68c | 11,534$7,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 68c | 10,467$7,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.91 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…2bf9backed Rays | 70c | 9,998$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…e305backed Marlins | 30c | 9,996$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 32c | 9,533$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.64 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 67c | 9,476$6,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.73 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 68c | 3,601$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 66c | 3,290$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Marlins | 34c | 3,190$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Rays | 68c | 2,959$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Marlins | 34c | 2,809$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 68c | 2,689$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.36 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…982bbacked Marlins | 43c | 2,627$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Rays | 68c | 2,216$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.31 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 41c | 2,124$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.05 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 41c | 1,827$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 69c | 1,555$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.05 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 33c | 1,513$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Rays | 68c | 1,494$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 69c | 1,437$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.37 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Rays | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Marlins | 33c | 1,319$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.94 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 68c | 1,185$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.16 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Marlins | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Marlins | 45c | 1,049$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.06 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Marlins | 23c | 1,024$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 30c | 999.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 30c | 943.94$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.18 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 64c | 901.21$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.73 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Rays | 50c | 889.67$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.3 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 67c | 832.04$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 62c | 771.71$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 68c | 749.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Marlins | 36c | 706.06$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Marlins | 30c | 666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 19c | 650.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 31c | 649.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Rays | 67c | 581.83$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays | 67c | 572$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 67c | 510.97$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rays | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Rays | 60c | 465.9$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Rays | 57c | 438.86$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 70c | 428.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 68c | 414$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 35c | 400$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Rays | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 31c | 378.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rays | 69c | 360.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Rays | 72c | 350.51$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 31c | 345$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Marlins | 40c | 337.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Rays | 60c | 324.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Rays | 61c | 321$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Marlins | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Rays | 66c | 310.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Rays | 69c | 307.36$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed Marlins | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Rays | 54c | 269.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Marlins | 40c | 261.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Marlins | 31c | 252.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…3450backed Rays | 68c | 242.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rays | 69c | 233.12$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 45c | 223.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Marlins | 33c | 220.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Rays | 55c | 215.57$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Rays | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 57c | 175.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Rays | 58c | 172.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Rays | 59c | 169.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rays | 59c | 169.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 59c | 168.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Marlins | 32c | 167.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Marlins | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Rays | 63c | 155.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Marlins | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Rays | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 20c | 144.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…5921backed Rays | 69c | 143.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked Rays | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Marlins | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Rays | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Marlins | 36c | 110.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 31c | 103$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Rays | 64c | 100.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rays | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Marlins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Rays | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.