NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351654872ba759c26bd2b37372b13b87789dcb22f41a133477903d6516b19e62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,170,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,202,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,170,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Rockets | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Rockets | 35c | 90,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,499.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Warriors | 59c | 78,938$46,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,520.17 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 60c | 50,644$30,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,021.57 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Rockets | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.9 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Rockets | 5c | 43,051$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.91 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 59c | 35,896$21,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,552.69 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Rockets | 39c | 35,863$14,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,051.56 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 45c | 30,222$13,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,632.25 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 58c | 27,892$16,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,220.52 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 37c | 27,672$10,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,322.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Warriors | 51c | 25,647$13,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,476.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 41c | 24,204$9,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,819.53 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 60c | 23,914$14,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,647.74 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockets | 56c | 21,089$11,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,904.51 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockets | 59c | 19,269$11,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,426.12 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Warriors | 48c | 15,600$7,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.59 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 61c | 14,402$8,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,785.01 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Rockets | 42c | 12,031$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,109 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 49c | 11,292$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.84 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 51c | 10,809$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.4 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Rockets | 53c | 10,753$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 39c | 10,009$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.38 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 44c | 9,892$4,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.15 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Warriors | 57c | 9,749$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.33 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Rockets | 65c | 9,537$6,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,225.57 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Rockets | 48c | 8,937$4,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.11 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 58c | 8,014$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…6228backed Rockets | 42c | 7,673$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Rockets | 35c | 7,300$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Warriors | 38c | 7,022$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.91 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Rockets | 58c | 6,901$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 42c | 6,479$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.92 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Rockets | 78c | 6,370$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 43c | 6,205$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.59 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 47c | 6,123$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Warriors | 55c | 6,075$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.73 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Rockets | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 59c | 5,860$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Warriors | 49c | 5,846$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.83 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…98ebbacked Rockets | 54c | 5,592$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…52e2backed Warriors | 58c | 5,507$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Warriors | 55c | 5,502$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.67 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Warriors | 55c | 5,287$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.07 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Rockets | 46c | 5,010$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Warriors | 58c | 4,999$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.78 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 60c | 4,567$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.3 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…a886backed Warriors | 58c | 4,453$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Rockets | 60c | 4,118$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Rockets | 71c | 4,098$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.45 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rockets | 44c | 4,090$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.8 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Rockets | 45c | 4,049$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Warriors | 50c | 3,989$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.89 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Rockets | 41c | 3,730$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.3 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 44c | 3,623$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.78 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Rockets | 54c | 3,548$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.65 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 41c | 3,383$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.05 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Rockets | 58c | 3,161$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.03 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Warriors | 25c | 2,943$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 46c | 2,896$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.26 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 52c | 2,860$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.99 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,564$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.48 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Warriors | 60c | 2,530$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.59 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…0bf9backed Rockets | 41c | 2,482$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Rockets | 45c | 2,358$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.39 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Rockets | 43c | 2,345$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…6738backed Rockets | 42c | 2,287$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Warriors | 57c | 2,170$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.9 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 55c | 2,142$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.4 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed Rockets | 48c | 2,019$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Rockets | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Rockets | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Warriors | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Rockets | 41c | 1,994$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Warriors | 40c | 1,970$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Warriors | 41c | 1,934$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Rockets | 46c | 1,836$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Rockets | 78c | 1,820$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.74 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Warriors | 53c | 1,795$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.29 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 57c | 1,790$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.41 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Rockets | 42c | 1,647$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockets | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f22…1552backed Rockets | 58c | 1,554$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Rockets | 65c | 1,520$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,500$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 59c | 1,352$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.32 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0e7cbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,342$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…5e9abacked Warriors | 47c | 1,289$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…8fe6backed Warriors | 31c | 1,287$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockets | 2c | 1,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Rockets | 47c | 1,180$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.97 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Rockets | 43c | 1,169$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Rockets | 40c | 1,088$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.