TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa496…6b77backed Giants69c9,998$6,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9b10backed Rockies31c9,940$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies25c8,119$2,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.532,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies14c7,881$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.6786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies11c7,229$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.0795930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockies34c6,093$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.6714747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants66c5,819$3,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.7432852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants68c5,278$3,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.2269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Rockies0c5,158$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies30c3,542$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.399,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies24c3,542$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.731,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies33c3,517$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.221,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Giants65c2,609$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.661,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies30c2,465$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rockies57c2,317$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.5319650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies35c2,285$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.691,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies34c2,282$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.772,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Giants66c2,237$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.1123852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies36c2,204$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.3944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies35c1,996$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.61,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…1df7backed Giants65c1,950$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.993941%16 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.9671751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rockies35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8337446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies46c1,417$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.1654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockies14c1,400$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.625416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Giants53c1,117$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.4417744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rockies36c1,104$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4420850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Giants78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201989.5%17 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b02…e4e8backed Giants66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Rockies38c999.56$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies35c935.88$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Giants66c920$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.81,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Giants57c900$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Giants65c872$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants66c872$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.161,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ad…0bbcbacked Giants66c824.04$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.17850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ef…9686backed Giants63c799.94$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Giants77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.224261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies2c755$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.554754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Rockies36c753.36$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.741850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Rockies10c751.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7812314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rockies1c744.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0940629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants77c737.34$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5917754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Giants18c556.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.9512624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants66c550$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Giants46c530.72$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26a…6d6ebacked Giants65c524$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa075…7d2bbacked Giants77c491.13$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.473281.3%26 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockies12c484.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.215644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies30c410.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.125,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rockies75c401.05$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Giants51c386.59$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7514052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Giants65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6218247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies5c383.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x766c…2377backed Giants26c379.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.772429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Giants75c379.14$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5451953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Giants53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rockies64c369$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1679740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Rockies11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants32c360$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.21,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Giants57c356.02$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.096046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…0af8backed Rockies12c341.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies26c337.76$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.381,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Rockies35c330$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.58156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies27c328.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.838743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Giants64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10814549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Giants64c299.86$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Rockies8c293.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.59824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Giants66c278.75$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies31c266$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.334,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rockies34c265.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5240352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa938…27debacked Rockies8c262.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-74.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Giants78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24cb…5921backed Rockies22c227.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.062128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants57c221.33$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7263942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Giants55c212.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.844856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Giants47c202.09$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9924040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Giants65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7012862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Giants62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7620448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c2…8316backed Giants46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.682152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Giants63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7413555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ea…3f00backed Giants48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies37c187.73$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.881,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants62c176.3$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Giants64c159.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.69150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5241…f648backed Giants64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.259747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Giants65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8522958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Giants70c149.39$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.218153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x372b…2edabacked Giants65c146$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Giants70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae7…1884backed Giants76c132.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.222259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants66c119.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Giants43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.283630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.