MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1170e9e98e58e0c721db9230bb826d4b35ee0f60578376b47d3a1b8bcc0ccfef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Royals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $733,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $739,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $733,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Mariners | 62c | 479,734$298,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,947.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 38c | 110,615$41,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,571.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Royals | 37c | 100,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 38c | 97,296$36,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,530.34 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Royals | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 16c | 27,157$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.02 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Royals | 39c | 25,912$10,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,105.68 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 7c | 19,630$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 44c | 17,131$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,536.63 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 36c | 17,071$6,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,156.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Royals | 50c | 14,897$7,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,496.76 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 38c | 14,678$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.26 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Royals | 39c | 12,165$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.25 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 37c | 7,840$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.55 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 21c | 6,231$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Royals | 37c | 6,163$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.32 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners | 45c | 6,150$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.98 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Royals | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 63c | 4,646$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.89 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 38c | 4,453$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.34 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 61c | 4,050$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Royals | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 51c | 2,905$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Royals | 50c | 2,519$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.52 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 58c | 2,252$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.76 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Royals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Royals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Royals | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.86 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Royals | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 53c | 1,668$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.82 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Royals | 61c | 1,656$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.03 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 60c | 1,549$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.5 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Mariners | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 39c | 1,513$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 30c | 1,203$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.18 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mariners | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Royals | 40c | 1,058$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Royals | 38c | 1,017$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.3 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 47c | 981.22$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.52 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royals | 37c | 946$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.02 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 19c | 864.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Royals | 39c | 847$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.33 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Royals | 24c | 843.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Royals | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mariners | 41c | 718.37$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.47 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Mariners | 63c | 684.77$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mariners | 78c | 661.85$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 46c | 650.42$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Mariners | 71c | 650$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Royals | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Royals | 58c | 516.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Royals | 39c | 497.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 71c | 417.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 47c | 405.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 37c | 401$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mariners | 78c | 395.82$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Mariners | 54c | 394.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Royals | 37c | 302.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 36c | 301.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mariners | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Mariners | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Royals | 18c | 271$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Royals | 4c | 263.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Royals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 38c | 258$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Mariners | 79c | 253.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 40c | 251.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Royals | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Royals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 37c | 239.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 47c | 224.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 39c | 215.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Mariners | 47c | 212.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Mariners | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Royals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab4…cc9fbacked Royals | 16c | 184.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Royals | 16c | 183.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Royals | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…f4b5backed Royals | 44c | 171.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Royals | 39c | 168.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Royals | 9c | 167.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Royals | 60c | 166.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Royals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Royals | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Mariners | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Mariners | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 32c | 150.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 54c | 144.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…0fdfbacked Royals | 38c | 143.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.