College Football · resolved market
Colorado State vs. Washington
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7bd81a6e74ee30482b5897c04292081847bd203f02443b7f840b41adc20f945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Colorado State, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado State | 14c | 11,202$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.11 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colorado State | 14c | 7,754$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.49 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Colorado State | 16c | 2,534$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Colorado State | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Colorado State | 13c | 1,250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Colorado State | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colorado State | 1c | 903.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colorado State | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…4581backed Colorado State | 9c | 648.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado State | 8c | 597.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Colorado State | 13c | 445$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado State | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Colorado State | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado State | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Colorado State | 8c | 199$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Colorado State | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Colorado State | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Colorado State | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Colorado State | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Colorado State | 12c | 113.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Colorado State | 13c | 104.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Colorado State | 16c | 100.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Colorado State | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…acd7backed Colorado State | 13c | 78.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Washington | 78c | 24.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.