UFC · resolved market
Ponzinibbio vs. Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff90b0fe9e513a46a254c9215c8e0682fa66b67ac6a17587ce281fcf1e7296e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ponzinibbioof Ponzinibbio, Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Harris | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Harris | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Ponzinibbio | 51c | 3,161$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Harris | 40c | 2,675$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.29 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ponzinibbio | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked Harris | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Harris | 42c | 2,000$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.98 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Harris | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…dc63backed Harris | 51c | 1,286$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Harris | 44c | 1,144$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Ponzinibbio | 49c | 1,100$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…c5f9backed Ponzinibbio | 51c | 1,090$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…c37cbacked Harris | 49c | 1,090$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…239ebacked Ponzinibbio | 51c | 1,090$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…cfa6backed Harris | 49c | 1,090$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Harris | 50c | 958.03$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…6808backed Harris | 57c | 902$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4386…1093backed Harris | 58c | 902$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…4d8dbacked Ponzinibbio | 43c | 902$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…8f42backed Ponzinibbio | 42c | 902$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Harris | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Ponzinibbio | 49c | 863.58$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 850.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.73 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Ponzinibbio | 58c | 793.71$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.71 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Harris | 53c | 758.93$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.25 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Harris | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Ponzinibbio | 49c | 694.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…26d5backed Harris | 76c | 575.4$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Harris | 51c | 542.72$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.07 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Harris | 44c | 490.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Ponzinibbio | 60c | 488.08$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 466.84$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.74 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Harris | 43c | 457.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Harris | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 439.48$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Harris | 55c | 432.48$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Ponzinibbio | 58c | 399.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Ponzinibbio | 49c | 360$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Harris | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Harris | 43c | 312.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Ponzinibbio | 56c | 311.53$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Harris | 42c | 308.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Harris | 52c | 230.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Ponzinibbio | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ponzinibbio | 58c | 197.07$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…daaabacked Ponzinibbio | 51c | 179.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Ponzinibbio | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Harris | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…db55backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 149.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…c77dbacked Ponzinibbio | 48c | 147.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Harris | 45c | 144.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Harris | 44c | 134.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Ponzinibbio | 47c | 131.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Ponzinibbio | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Harris | 51c | 118.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Harris | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…bf73backed Ponzinibbio | 47c | 108.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked Ponzinibbio | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Harris | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Ponzinibbio | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Ponzinibbio | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…2ca2backed Harris | 51c | 88.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…051cbacked Ponzinibbio | 50c | 88.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Ponzinibbio | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f7…2c0fbacked Ponzinibbio | 50c | 82.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7156…5408backed Harris | 51c | 81.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ponzinibbio | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf003…bb71backed Ponzinibbio | 51c | 78.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…e4e2backed Harris | 51c | 78.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…b802backed Ponzinibbio | 50c | 78.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Harris | 51c | 72.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7a…5a4abacked Harris | 51c | 72.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…7cb9backed Harris | 51c | 71.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada9…9952backed Ponzinibbio | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Ponzinibbio | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…261abacked Harris | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Ponzinibbio | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa4…d4a0backed Ponzinibbio | 52c | 45.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Ponzinibbio | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…39c4backed Ponzinibbio | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…76a8backed Ponzinibbio | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…e97ebacked Harris | 50c | 41.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…4a89backed Harris | 50c | 39.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…d04abacked Harris | 50c | 39.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a6…29c4backed Ponzinibbio | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…9d70backed Ponzinibbio | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9245…4ee6backed Harris | 51c | 39.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…b1dabacked Harris | 50c | 37.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…d674backed Harris | 50c | 36.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Ponzinibbio | 57c | 34.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…3b1cbacked Ponzinibbio | 60c | 32.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Ponzinibbio | 43c | 31.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…79fdbacked Ponzinibbio | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…5c89backed Harris | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…d121backed Harris | 50c | 29.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ponzinibbio vs. Harristhis page
- Almeida vs. AlhassanAlmeida won
- Curtis vs. KopylovKopylov won
- Dern vs. RibasDern won
- Rodriguez vs. BashiRodriguez won
- Soriano vs. MedicSoriano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.