UFC · resolved market
Almeida vs. Alhassan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7011b35a206b6a586930a133dfbd9ffb1bb149bedffcd04bd36b13324de94d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Almeidaof Almeida, Alhassan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Almeida | 71c | 9,415$6,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.68 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Almeida | 72c | 5,871$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Alhassan | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Alhassan | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alhassan | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Alhassan | 29c | 2,578$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.67 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Alhassan | 1c | 1,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Alhassan | 29c | 1,692$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Alhassan | 30c | 1,656$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Alhassan | 26c | 1,171$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Alhassan | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Alhassan | 32c | 1,111$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…44b7backed Almeida | 72c | 808.68$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Alhassan | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Almeida | 70c | 571$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Almeida | 66c | 539.49$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Alhassan | 33c | 503.74$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alhassan | 26c | 495.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Almeida | 65c | 430.11$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Alhassan | 39c | 399.6$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Alhassan | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Alhassan | 27c | 337.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Alhassan | 28c | 332.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Almeida | 72c | 319.44$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…2da9backed Alhassan | 34c | 295.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Almeida | 72c | 293.15$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Almeida | 64c | 238.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Alhassan | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Almeida | 74c | 214.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d25fbacked Alhassan | 26c | 203.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Alhassan | 26c | 196.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…e300backed Almeida | 73c | 196.45$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Almeida | 68c | 189.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Almeida | 74c | 163.26$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Almeida | 68c | 146.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Almeida | 69c | 146.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Almeida | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Alhassan | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…cbdbbacked Almeida | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Alhassan | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Almeida | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Almeida | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Alhassan | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Almeida | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Alhassan | 52c | 95.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Alhassan | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed Almeida | 65c | 88.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Almeida | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Alhassan | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…0eecbacked Almeida | 73c | 78.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Alhassan | 27c | 76.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…bf73backed Almeida | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Almeida | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…39c4backed Almeida | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Alhassan | 32c | 70.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Almeida | 74c | 70.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Almeida | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…2461backed Almeida | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Alhassan | 22c | 69.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…cf5ebacked Almeida | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Almeida | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…0467backed Alhassan | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Alhassan | 28c | 60.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Almeida | 72c | 60.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…ca1bbacked Almeida | 69c | 59.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…8112backed Almeida | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Almeida | 68c | 50.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…a192backed Almeida | 74c | 48.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…f96bbacked Almeida | 72c | 47.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238b…5b3abacked Almeida | 73c | 47.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2183…f9c5backed Alhassan | 30c | 46.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f54…b5e5backed Almeida | 73c | 45.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005f…a4c7backed Almeida | 69c | 44.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…f6edbacked Almeida | 73c | 44.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…b9a7backed Alhassan | 30c | 44.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Almeida | 69c | 43.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…6be0backed Almeida | 67c | 43.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a40…1667backed Almeida | 73c | 42.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Almeida | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked Almeida | 71c | 42.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c1…cda7backed Almeida | 69c | 42.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…2d0abacked Almeida | 76c | 42.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked Alhassan | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…a794backed Alhassan | 26c | 39.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…37c5backed Alhassan | 26c | 39.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…6182backed Almeida | 77c | 39.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…1036backed Alhassan | 29c | 39.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…807cbacked Almeida | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…711cbacked Almeida | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…c5fcbacked Alhassan | 30c | 37.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9290…aef8backed Alhassan | 31c | 36.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…b241backed Alhassan | 34c | 36.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…122cbacked Alhassan | 28c | 35.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…33a7backed Alhassan | 33c | 35.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…6b7cbacked Almeida | 74c | 35.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…b80fbacked Almeida | 66c | 35.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…c0e9backed Alhassan | 34c | 35.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…31cfbacked Almeida | 69c | 34.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee0…7f6dbacked Almeida | 69c | 33.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…0197backed Almeida | 69c | 33.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Almeida vs. Alhassanthis page
- Curtis vs. KopylovKopylov won
- Dern vs. RibasDern won
- Ponzinibbio vs. HarrisPonzinibbio won
- Rodriguez vs. BashiRodriguez won
- Soriano vs. MedicSoriano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.