UFC · resolved market
Rodriguez vs. Bashi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc10628777069dc0266dd77fddd87381fbde17e59a47892a354b87c228f4144a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodriguezof Rodriguez, Bashi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rodriguez | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.98 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Bashi | 69c | 7,374$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.58 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Bashi | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Bashi | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Bashi | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Bashi | 70c | 3,200$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Rodriguez | 33c | 2,174$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.01 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rodriguez | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bashi | 68c | 2,046$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.35 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rodriguez | 28c | 1,925$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.49 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…c9bdbacked Bashi | 71c | 1,803$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rodriguez | 29c | 1,736$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bashi | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Bashi | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…1214backed Bashi | 72c | 788.83$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Rodriguez | 29c | 757.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rodriguez | 28c | 651.3$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Bashi | 72c | 555$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 554.13$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Bashi | 60c | 485.03$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bashi | 66c | 461.17$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Rodriguez | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 35cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Rodriguez | 62c | 289.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f747backed Rodriguez | 28c | 285.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…9aa2backed Bashi | 72c | 285$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Rodriguez | 36c | 278.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rodriguez | 29c | 267$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Bashi | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Rodriguez | 29c | 249.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Bashi | 64c | 234.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bashi | 70c | 224.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rodriguez | 29c | 224.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…3b1cbacked Bashi | 71c | 202.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Rodriguez | 32c | 184.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…2da9backed Rodriguez | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bashi | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Rodriguez | 67c | 149.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…0467backed Bashi | 72c | 142.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Bashi | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Rodriguez | 35c | 109.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Rodriguez | 29c | 105$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…cbdbbacked Bashi | 70c | 100.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Bashi | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.4wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Rodriguez | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rodriguez | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Rodriguez | 31c | 96.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bashi | 30c | 92.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Bashi | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…39c4backed Bashi | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Bashi | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Bashi | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Bashi | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rodriguez | 28c | 61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Rodriguez | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rodriguez | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Bashi | 70c | 48.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…f6b2backed Rodriguez | 34c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…6673backed Bashi | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…c43cbacked Rodriguez | 34c | 38.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…3f6cbacked Rodriguez | 36c | 38.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Rodriguez | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…35a4backed Rodriguez | 36c | 38.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…eab0backed Bashi | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…8d7dbacked Rodriguez | 35c | 35.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd35f…e0efbacked Rodriguez | 36c | 34.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…f887backed Rodriguez | 36c | 33.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Rodriguez | 39c | 33.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…892fbacked Rodriguez | 35c | 33.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…261abacked Rodriguez | 32c | 31.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…79fdbacked Bashi | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Bashi | 68c | 29.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6488…3049backed Rodriguez | 35c | 28.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…c3d9backed Bashi | 73c | 27.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b8…dafcbacked Bashi | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Bashi | 72c | 24.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bashi | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…b1ecbacked Bashi | 65c | 22.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…c31fbacked Bashi | 65c | 22.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e6…5146backed Bashi | 66c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af6…8d8cbacked Bashi | 66c | 21.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…4108backed Bashi | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…d869backed Bashi | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…129cbacked Bashi | 66c | 17.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…7647backed Bashi | 65c | 15.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4e…aad6backed Bashi | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rodriguez vs. Bashithis page
- Almeida vs. AlhassanAlmeida won
- Curtis vs. KopylovKopylov won
- Dern vs. RibasDern won
- Ponzinibbio vs. HarrisPonzinibbio won
- Soriano vs. MedicSoriano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.