TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings62c49,751$30,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,790.9236242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3e…9913backed Kings63c36,130$22,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc34…8b32backed Avalanche37c33,432$12,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,369.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Kings64c24,955$15,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,983.84763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2623…9454backed Kings63c23,450$14,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,676.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7da…63d7backed Avalanche37c23,450$8,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,676.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked Avalanche38c22,000$8,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,360366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche41c16,582$6,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,738.7831753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche36c15,806$5,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,657.4392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Avalanche36c12,989$4,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,723.0713845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings58c11,351$6,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,822.021,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings65c10,742$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.8127958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Avalanche44c6,399$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.098139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Avalanche38c5,723$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.6486649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Avalanche37c3,841$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.7937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Avalanche27c3,294$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9005470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Avalanche38c3,277$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2613754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche18c3,059$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.4758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Avalanche37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9924546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Avalanche36c2,900$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0442751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc620…070fbacked Avalanche37c2,690$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche36c2,649$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.7279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings70c2,381$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.443,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Avalanche1c2,230$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche36c2,222$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Avalanche38c2,081$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.8364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Kings63c2,015$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.552763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Avalanche37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.981,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Avalanche11c1,892$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…0245backed Avalanche5c1,200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche38c1,146$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.881,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Kings64c1,119$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.826956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Avalanche35c1,015$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5511354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Avalanche2c1,014$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche42c1,000$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings62c999.96$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings76c828.2$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.841,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Kings64c778.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.666450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche37c706.4$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Kings64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche38c601.66$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Avalanche40c574.21$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6838744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche39c519$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4128842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings61c505.06$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche43c500.02$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0166951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Avalanche10c486.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.598720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Avalanche38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15235349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc99…ede8backed Kings63c390$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21e9…d1a0backed Avalanche37c390$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Avalanche14c380.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Avalanche34c366.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche39c349.7$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.911,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche37c330$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.130549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Avalanche38c303.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.56357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Avalanche36c300.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4758346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche35c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Avalanche39c298.92$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.588345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Avalanche40c298.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Kings79c286.05$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.076465.6%42 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Avalanche38c276.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Kings63c274.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.746850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Avalanche38c264.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Avalanche27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9914844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Avalanche36c228.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.216936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Avalanche39c222.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Avalanche36c222$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4148149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings62c222$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3650857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Avalanche37c221.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.027240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34c5…f2afbacked Kings64c212.55$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.528347%39 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Avalanche39c205.83$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.271631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Avalanche16c197.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.011060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+42.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Avalanche10c192.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce43…a695backed Avalanche48c179$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.921442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be8…1dd6backed Kings52c179$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.921040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Avalanche36c174.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5313846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7d…eee9backed Avalanche37c174.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2256backed Kings52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Avalanche48c170$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e15…d76bbacked Kings52c169$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.121275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Avalanche48c169$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.121650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Avalanche29c165.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Kings62c163.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4811751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b85…3d86backed Kings56c159$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.961384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+60.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa710…6bf3backed Avalanche44c158.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche37c158$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4660549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Avalanche7c157.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…9935backed Kings74c145.58$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2552…e133backed Avalanche38c142.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings77c140.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.471,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1417…26dabacked Avalanche37c133.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e4…7268backed Avalanche38c133.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f8…d16ebacked Avalanche39c129.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9710…f3e1backed Kings64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Kings62c120$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.511354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…3869backed Kings63c119$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9175…d590backed Avalanche37c119$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7b…3558backed Avalanche38c118.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.