NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03b2cba914672f130d9b21e41e8138bf4f0ea98404aaac9f5a56ee8f9330517c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58d2…0357backed Lightning | 58c | 10,001$5,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…8e95backed Penguins | 42c | 10,001$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Penguins | 43c | 1,710$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.92 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 58c | 999.66$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.86 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 40c | 573.14$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Lightning | 57c | 559.74$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.69 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Penguins | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 39c | 371.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.48 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 41c | 290.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Penguins | 45c | 253.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Lightning | 60c | 250.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Penguins | 27c | 210.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lightning | 58c | 199.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 48c | 180.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Penguins | 41c | 173.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Lightning | 60c | 167.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 42c | 159.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins | 41c | 145.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Penguins | 43c | 139.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lightning | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Lightning | 80c | 124.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Penguins | 41c | 119.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lightning | 59c | 118.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 42c | 116.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…2fa6backed Penguins | 48c | 113.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lightning | 53c | 104.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Lightning | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Penguins | 41c | 99.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Penguins | 41c | 87.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 74c | 82.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Lightning | 57c | 77.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed Lightning | 59c | 75.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Penguins | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Lightning | 57c | 59.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Lightning | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Lightning | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…a3c5backed Penguins | 44c | 47.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…d3d4backed Penguins | 46c | 44.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a84…4a3bbacked Lightning | 54c | 44.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…1a39backed Penguins | 45c | 43.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…256dbacked Lightning | 55c | 43.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Lightning | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609c…8d4dbacked Penguins | 45c | 41.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…2fb1backed Lightning | 58c | 40.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1931…c88ebacked Penguins | 42c | 40.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…1d5fbacked Penguins | 42c | 40.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…71eebacked Lightning | 58c | 40.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…7ecfbacked Lightning | 58c | 39.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…ccfbbacked Penguins | 42c | 39.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…df6cbacked Lightning | 58c | 38.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…523fbacked Lightning | 58c | 38.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Penguins | 46c | 37.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…912cbacked Lightning | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…2afabacked Lightning | 57c | 36.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…10f6backed Penguins | 43c | 36.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…58c5backed Lightning | 58c | 35.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…024dbacked Penguins | 42c | 35.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…45b3backed Lightning | 57c | 34.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…260abacked Penguins | 42c | 34.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…7223backed Lightning | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…5835backed Lightning | 59c | 33.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…5e7ebacked Lightning | 55c | 33.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…ebd5backed Lightning | 54c | 33.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Penguins | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fc…5eafbacked Penguins | 42c | 32.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…8a83backed Penguins | 46c | 31.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…537dbacked Penguins | 42c | 31.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5af…5b07backed Penguins | 41c | 30.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…ed85backed Lightning | 55c | 30.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…7d7bbacked Penguins | 42c | 30.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c33…596cbacked Penguins | 42c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…cf25backed Lightning | 58c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…c6d4backed Penguins | 45c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…4b2abacked Penguins | 61c | 28.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…649dbacked Penguins | 42c | 28.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Lightning | 49c | 28.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…6aa9backed Penguins | 51c | 28.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…5164backed Penguins | 42c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…62e7backed Lightning | 58c | 27.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…7009backed Lightning | 58c | 27.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb35…1a8cbacked Penguins | 42c | 26.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a25…838cbacked Lightning | 58c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…b27fbacked Penguins | 42c | 26.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…f278backed Lightning | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…bda2backed Lightning | 55c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Lightning | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa22c…48e6backed Penguins | 41c | 25.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc477…b41abacked Lightning | 55c | 25.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a22…925cbacked Penguins | 45c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c62…672dbacked Penguins | 42c | 24.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…fa07backed Lightning | 58c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…8856backed Lightning | 54c | 24.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…12bebacked Penguins | 42c | 24.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.