NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa441dc5217fc626fb583199a59b2a6cc1cee869a68b7b56f00af021e818122ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Penguins | 47c | 48,745$22,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,812.34 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres | 52c | 39,194$20,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,511.55 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Penguins | 49c | 33,354$16,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,144.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Penguins | 70c | 8,181$5,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.08 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Sabres | 9c | 7,023$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres | 57c | 6,109$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.69 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc5…48a5backed Sabres | 51c | 5,434$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 51c | 5,205$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.69 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Sabres | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Sabres | 53c | 4,213$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.85 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Sabres | 65c | 3,580$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.36 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 52c | 3,500$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 53c | 2,304$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.65 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Sabres | 52c | 1,938$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Sabres | 3c | 1,832$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 43c | 1,494$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.62 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Sabres | 54c | 1,483$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.7 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Sabres | 57c | 1,406$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres | 6c | 1,300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,052$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.52 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Sabres | 52c | 1,006$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.62 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabres | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 63c | 842.33$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…d771backed Penguins | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Sabres | 53c | 799.97$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Sabres | 53c | 752$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 55c | 642.61$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.02 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres | 52c | 632.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.26 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 76c | 591.28$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Penguins | 52c | 581.31$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabres | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres | 46c | 500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Sabres | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Sabres | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 53c | 494.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.34 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…e880backed Sabres | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 47c | 474.94$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 54c | 425$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Sabres | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Sabres | 55c | 387.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Sabres | 51c | 343.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Penguins | 72c | 328.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabres | 53c | 303.49$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Sabres | 37c | 256.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sabres | 53c | 234.47$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…92aabacked Penguins | 48c | 203.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…cff0backed Penguins | 44c | 200.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…58b6backed Sabres | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Sabres | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…03c3backed Penguins | 45c | 193.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…6592backed Sabres | 57c | 192.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe938…9e62backed Sabres | 52c | 192.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Sabres | 50c | 189.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Penguins | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Sabres | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Penguins | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Sabres | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8121…07cabacked Penguins | 48c | 145.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…18e5backed Sabres | 54c | 144.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5094…3dadbacked Penguins | 49c | 142.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…f565backed Sabres | 52c | 139.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…8d31backed Penguins | 48c | 138.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Penguins | 49c | 137.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa634…d7b4backed Sabres | 51c | 136.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sabres | 53c | 136$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…319fbacked Penguins | 49c | 135.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…f9f8backed Sabres | 54c | 134.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…44eebacked Penguins | 48c | 132.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…cee2backed Sabres | 54c | 128.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708b…8c24backed Penguins | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…c956backed Sabres | 54c | 121.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Sabres | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Penguins | 47c | 114.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed Sabres | 52c | 113$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Sabres | 54c | 109.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Penguins | 46c | 109.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…10b2backed Penguins | 48c | 109.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…a1a9backed Penguins | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…d9b2backed Penguins | 49c | 106.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…50a0backed Sabres | 52c | 106.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…6ed6backed Sabres | 54c | 104.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…b775backed Sabres | 54c | 102.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…c4f7backed Penguins | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Sabres | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Sabres | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…d9e2backed Penguins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…87e8backed Penguins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Penguins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…7a92backed Sabres | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…c7b6backed Penguins | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Sabres | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9358…3063backed Penguins | 50c | 99.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…71a3backed Sabres | 51c | 97.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…eab3backed Sabres | 54c | 97.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Sabres | 54c | 96.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf38…1aedbacked Sabres | 26c | 95.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Penguins | 48c | 92.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.