College Football · resolved market
Memphis vs. Troy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ed1849725e328ad0d7f83a858df5ef2487eab5530c6669739405be6d993cdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Memphisof Memphis, Troy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Troy | 3c | 10,304$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.11 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Troy | 27c | 9,690$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.52 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Memphis | 70c | 7,637$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Troy | 4c | 5,710$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Memphis | 62c | 2,594$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.05 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Troy | 38c | 2,400$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Troy | 37c | 1,138$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.21 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Troy | 36c | 1,131$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.76 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Troy | 7c | 1,097$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Memphis | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Troy | 37c | 692.91$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Troy | 6c | 623$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Memphis | 73c | 525.79$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Troy | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Troy | 25c | 391.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Troy | 36c | 359.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Troy | 37c | 326.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy | 26c | 322$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Troy | 7c | 282.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Memphis | 71c | 281.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Troy | 37c | 269$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Memphis | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Memphis | 64c | 210$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Troy | 6c | 206$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Memphis | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Memphis | 62c | 191.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Memphis | 65c | 185.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Memphis | 63c | 157.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Memphis | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Memphis | 64c | 145.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc6…c3e4backed Troy | 36c | 133.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Troy | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Troy | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…d029backed Memphis | 67c | 107.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…5322backed Memphis | 64c | 106.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Memphis | 64c | 102$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Troy | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked Memphis | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Memphis | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…5a13backed Troy | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Memphis | 64c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Troy | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Memphis | 63c | 50.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…4d3cbacked Memphis | 71c | 46.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…b2e8backed Troy | 37c | 41.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…1bb4backed Troy | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Memphis | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Memphis | 73c | 40.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Memphis | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Troy | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Memphis | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…ed18backed Troy | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e6…7f1fbacked Troy | 37c | 37.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…0740backed Troy | 37c | 37.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…7e01backed Troy | 37c | 37.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c573backed Troy | 37c | 35.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…3b95backed Troy | 38c | 35.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Memphis | 64c | 32.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…ee29backed Troy | 37c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…097bbacked Troy | 37c | 31.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Memphis | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…374cbacked Memphis | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Memphis | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…43aabacked Troy | 37c | 30.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…4c38backed Troy | 38c | 30.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…8c44backed Troy | 37c | 29.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…1c0ebacked Troy | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…d81dbacked Troy | 38c | 28.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…9063backed Troy | 38c | 28.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Memphis | 64c | 28.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…ca33backed Troy | 37c | 28.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…ecc4backed Memphis | 64c | 28.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…022bbacked Memphis | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc696…e69fbacked Memphis | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…37f2backed Memphis | 63c | 23.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…cb01backed Memphis | 63c | 22.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61b7…6416backed Memphis | 63c | 22.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…32d2backed Memphis | 64c | 22.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…970cbacked Memphis | 64c | 22.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1164…4908backed Memphis | 64c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…0a8abacked Memphis | 64c | 21.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…548cbacked Memphis | 64c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…7c6abacked Memphis | 64c | 20.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…bd90backed Memphis | 63c | 20.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…3797backed Memphis | 63c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…9d1ebacked Memphis | 64c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…7d85backed Memphis | 64c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Memphis | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Memphis | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…fa75backed Memphis | 63c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…8254backed Memphis | 63c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Memphis | 67c | 18.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…fcf9backed Memphis | 64c | 18.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90f…0f4cbacked Memphis | 64c | 18.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…d3c6backed Memphis | 63c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb2…b96fbacked Memphis | 64c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…dc09backed Memphis | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffb…f1ccbacked Memphis | 64c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…fc66backed Memphis | 64c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…c44fbacked Memphis | 64c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis vs. Troythis page
- Memphis vs. Troy: O/U 51.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.