MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054011d13a781215aca4f45dd2e610bcf0046c54c38faab31305f28b1fb5046a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Diamondbacks, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 35c | 28,918$10,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,077.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 30c | 16,647$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.84 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 56c | 14,716$8,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.91 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Twins | 57c | 10,023$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.89 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 58c | 9,200$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins | 56c | 8,036$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.64 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 57c | 7,720$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Twins | 78c | 5,399$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.05 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,020$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 69c | 4,216$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.41 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Twins | 56c | 3,902$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Twins | 72c | 3,884$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.64 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,536$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.64 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Twins | 66c | 3,485$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 56c | 3,394$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.99 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 3,002$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,477$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,850$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 79c | 1,780$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,611$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,596$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Twins | 56c | 1,380$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.13 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,373$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.73 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 71c | 1,372$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.82 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,334$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.96 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 1,191$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.82 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 971$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 940$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.6 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 909$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 774$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 56c | 717.29$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.61 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 599.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 599.51$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Twins | 55c | 592.01$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.87 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 582$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.08 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 538.12$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 14c | 500$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.27 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Twins | 72c | 485.1$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 466.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 47c | 426.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.7 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Twins | 75c | 305.96$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Twins | 76c | 305.27$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 305$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 269.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…58a2backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Twins | 46c | 221.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 200.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 78c | 194$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 181$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 171.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Diamondbacks | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 131.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Twins | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 118.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…2d4dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Twins | 51c | 72.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Twins | 79c | 68.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Twins | 50c | 59.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 57.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Twins | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8f72backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Twins | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 42.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Twinsthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.