MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7084456406d4dcbf53f878e1648962bf30e2eaa7030448b3ef0fc3a4931ff89b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves | 53c | 10,647$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.77 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 52c | 7,673$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.95 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 52c | 6,666$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.32 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 51c | 3,052$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.72 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 48c | 2,541$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 46c | 2,324$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astros | 52c | 1,258$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 54c | 1,191$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 46c | 1,026$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Astros | 46c | 949.26$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.6 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 54c | 940$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Braves | 47c | 899.99$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 48c | 832.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.69 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 52c | 810.56$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.49 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Astros | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Braves | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Astros | 69c | 724.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 47c | 635.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 46c | 600.11$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.89 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Astros | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 46c | 551.35$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.73 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 46c | 529.9$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Braves | 61c | 438$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.06 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Astros | 52c | 409.93$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Astros | 52c | 409.62$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Astros | 66c | 402.11$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Astros | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Astros | 51c | 375.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Braves | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 47c | 322$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 47c | 319.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros | 58c | 301.86$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Braves | 35c | 285.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 51c | 279.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 63c | 244.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Astros | 53c | 226.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 50c | 198$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Astros | 58c | 173.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 56c | 173.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Braves | 52c | 154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Astros | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Braves | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 43c | 132$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Astros | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Braves | 58c | 115.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…7c1dbacked Astros | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Braves | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astros | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 53c | 86.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Braves | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 50c | 79.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…a09bbacked Astros | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Astros | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…b2bebacked Astros | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Astros | 61c | 67.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Astros | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0958…78fdbacked Astros | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Astros | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Braves | 48c | 58.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Braves | 48c | 56.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…cec5backed Astros | 46c | 50.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8f72backed Astros | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Braves | 45c | 47.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Astros | 75c | 46.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Braves | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Astros | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Braves | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…a9e7backed Braves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Braves | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…1458backed Astros | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…4d63backed Braves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Astros | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…985fbacked Astros | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Braves | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…1e01backed Astros | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…26c6backed Astros | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Astros | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Braves | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…9bcbbacked Astros | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Astros | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Astros | 48c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Astros | 47c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Astros | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Braves | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…9f01backed Astros | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Astros | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…569cbacked Braves | 54c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Astros | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Bravesthis page
- Astros vs. Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Astros vs. BravesYes won
- Spread: Astros (-1.5)Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.