MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x583760d35b02f8c19aefd2ed36b6a880a97f51b0941c8248c812b237680f5a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,147,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,193,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,147,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 487,098$248,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,341.42 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 46c | 284,682$130,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,503.72 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 61c | 136,622$83,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,834.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 53,072$33,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,756.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed New York Yankees | 76c | 44,892$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,891.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 24,321$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 22,000$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 21,354$13,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 14,581$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Yankees | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 66c | 9,957$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 53c | 9,150$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.9 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 8,795$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.33 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 55c | 8,553$4,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.76 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees | 54c | 8,250$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,795 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 7,344$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.67 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 65c | 6,481$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.95 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 54c | 6,026$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.39 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed New York Yankees | 68c | 5,777$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.74 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 68c | 5,544$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.06 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 5,543$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 5,080$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,156$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 3,095$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.73 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 3,070$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.27 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Chicago Cubs | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 2,952$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,333$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.74 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,323$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.35 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,295$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.65 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…9af1backed New York Yankees | 64c | 2,272$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,174$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 52c | 2,153$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.42 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 2,144$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 2,069$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.88 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 2,039$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.71 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed New York Yankees | 79c | 2,025$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,013$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Yankees | 71c | 1,763$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 1,654$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.21 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed New York Yankees | 65c | 1,623$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.85 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed New York Yankees | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 1,436$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed New York Yankees | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,344$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.37 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,194$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.21 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,154$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.17 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,000$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.56 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 988.47$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 53c | 975$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 888.89$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Yankees | 72c | 861.19$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 54c | 861.04$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 816.44$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 795.41$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 795.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees | 65c | 750$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 750$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 737.78$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 672.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 663.6$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 648$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.45 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 627.36$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 623.05$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 601.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.72 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 70c | 564.81$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 558.81$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.15 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 555.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 531.91$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 531.91$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 527.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 524.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 521.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.44 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed New York Yankees | 67c | 494.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 462.49$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 448.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 438.84$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.53 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed New York Yankees | 62c | 399.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 397.23$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed New York Yankees | 64c | 381.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 359.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 354.34$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 353.25$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Yankees | 55c | 339$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 335.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 305.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.46 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 304.27$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed New York Yankees | 71c | 302.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.