TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Penguins, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x824c…d2bbbacked Penguins36c12,397$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.641850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa8…8753backed Panthers66c10,025$6,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,408.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…ee70backed Penguins34c10,022$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers64c9,107$5,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.4535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Penguins36c5,854$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08521652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed Penguins37c3,003$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Panthers67c2,995$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.531060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Penguins33c2,750$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.4431849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Panthers64c2,400$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb858…9594backed Panthers78c1,594$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ab…377fbacked Panthers64c1,580$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+150.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11c0…a326backed Penguins36c1,488$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Panthers68c1,469$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.023850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76a0…5a51backed Penguins6c1,390$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc206…e084backed Panthers63c1,342$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x122d…bcdabacked Panthers67c1,203$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Penguins1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers65c1,000$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48e4…86babacked Panthers65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+62.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers64c750$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.51,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers66c600$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Penguins34c595$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.36050%30 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Panthers63c526.94$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2113655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Panthers65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17516554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0137…bf9ebacked Panthers66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e14…f4dabacked Penguins34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Panthers63c490$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.329847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7a…acc8backed Panthers67c447.35$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aca…de10backed Panthers70c446.52$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4f…799cbacked Panthers63c410$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…cefebacked Penguins37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins23c384.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Panthers66c381.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.289861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Panthers67c373.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Panthers63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Penguins37c267.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Penguins45c263.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.422948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Penguins41c257.63$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8931334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Panthers65c250.51$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7654349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Panthers65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7011951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Penguins34c199.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9912245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Panthers59c195$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Panthers67c194.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3624945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers64c188$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Panthers65c180.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Penguins33c180.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.612638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Penguins48c173$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.135843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Penguins35c171.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3348654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Penguins48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins33c160.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Panthers66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Panthers60c149.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Penguins33c149.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Panthers67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.172142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Panthers63c140.84$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.119153.8%49 W · 42 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Panthers64c132.62$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee1…52e1backed Penguins36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers71c115.42$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.643,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…8b38backed Penguins31c113.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.58728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Penguins37c111.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.187648.7%37 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Panthers64c109.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.234663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Penguins36c101.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Panthers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Panthers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Penguins35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64b…b90fbacked Penguins37c95.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Panthers64c94.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8547249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58bb…1bd7backed Panthers66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.915054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccaa…9066backed Panthers55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Panthers66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7619852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ec…41a5backed Panthers66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Panthers62c64.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Panthers64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.519057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20fa…5ed9backed Panthers66c57.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd3…06a8backed Penguins35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe08c…f589backed Penguins36c56.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3607…d015backed Penguins35c48.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Panthers64c48.23$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3610659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a5…7381backed Penguins65c47.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Panthers63c46.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0b0…276fbacked Panthers66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+70.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3c5…fc5ebacked Panthers66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf30…8c02backed Penguins35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Panthers65c41.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.544852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8739…1f85backed Panthers66c40.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4718…49d4backed Panthers66c39.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Panthers65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.469547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Penguins34c38.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0111145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe234…a285backed Panthers66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…6c76backed Panthers67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe884…4344backed Panthers66c36.08$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e9…604fbacked Penguins36c36.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50ae…f800backed Panthers66c35.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be4…282fbacked Penguins34c35.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ade…43e1backed Panthers66c35.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…a5b3backed Penguins34c35.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fde…3fe6backed Panthers66c35.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.