TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings75c84,858$63,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,509.9515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans23c23,552$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings71c19,053$13,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,454.949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans22c15,654$3,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.6565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Kings73c15,042$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.052458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Pelicans15c10,307$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.4619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca0…f349backed Pelicans33c10,041$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,313.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe60…0b25backed Kings67c10,004$6,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df0…9efebacked Pelicans33c10,004$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99c…1006backed Kings67c9,999$6,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans19c9,856$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.371,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Pelicans33c9,020$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.4715044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Pelicans4c8,851$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.511816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+85.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans36c8,427$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.7159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b6e…8b9cbacked Kings71c7,667$5,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Pelicans28c6,700$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.8622832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d45…a678backed Pelicans29c5,929$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Pelicans29c5,892$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.726245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6c…9a92backed Pelicans30c5,875$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Pelicans28c5,584$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.5942827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f9…9f73backed Kings73c5,503$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans14c5,347$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.711,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pelicans28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40027546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Kings72c4,300$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.461,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d75…4310backed Kings72c4,172$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans1c4,163$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.251,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62de…9ea7backed Pelicans30c4,140$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans33c3,539$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Pelicans19c3,475$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.45561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans29c3,419$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.2377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Kings71c3,167$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.555947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pelicans2c2,822$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans28c2,522$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.8172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans16c2,299$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pelicans31c2,001$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1919642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans28c2,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57046131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Pelicans28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5607741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Kings69c1,860$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.546253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Pelicans29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Pelicans28c1,722$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8910244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings67c1,662$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.3629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Pelicans28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Kings69c1,443$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.812080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Pelicans30c1,287$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.2427939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans29c1,242$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.0235046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans28c1,224$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.1673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f5…84f2backed Pelicans29c1,117$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Kings66c1,102$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.6525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Kings73c1,095$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6811249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans30c1,052$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Kings72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans31c999.96$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9916242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Kings72c994.47$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.456750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x406b…3191backed Kings68c812.49$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Pelicans29c800.77$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6714438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96af…4000backed Pelicans32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf061…f3aabacked Pelicans32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a0…b7d5backed Kings68c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Kings77c776.68$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2414941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Pelicans23c722.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.66229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Pelicans14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b4…442dbacked Kings73c704.11$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.113164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed9c…002fbacked Pelicans28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7618…ff2cbacked Kings72c700$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Kings67c699.83$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9422053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Pelicans32c694.35$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.197149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6894…a7cfbacked Pelicans28c690.48$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.331540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Kings70c667$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.18561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kings72c638.89$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8956348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29e7…0832backed Pelicans29c620.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Pelicans27c609.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.954240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans27c549.98$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans21c522.24$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4711…61b3backed Pelicans38c513.9$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.972857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Kings58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21015234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x273b…37fcbacked Kings70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da9…fbcfbacked Pelicans14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9a…36a0backed Pelicans31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pelicans29c499.75$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans21c494.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Kings71c479.98$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1916160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed Kings69c453.62$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Pelicans32c453.13$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings67c442.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.861,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Kings70c430.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.637363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Pelicans30c406.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings69c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.491,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Pelicans30c399.96$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.993537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Kings69c374.25$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.251392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.23per pick70cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans41c365.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8925833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Kings70c362.92$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7711235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Kings72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.226838.2%26 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans29c344.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.011,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Kings62c321.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.367548%36 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9389353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Kings57c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13029661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Kings67c300$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e17…779abacked Kings73c299.62$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.92979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.