TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Penguins, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19b8…612abacked Hurricanes64c8,007$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.194955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins36c6,270$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.1492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Penguins42c3,309$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.1231334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hurricanes66c1,892$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.3231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins32c1,708$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.721,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hurricanes79c1,272$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27044848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins37c1,253$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Hurricanes69c1,079$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4213361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28ad…8ec8backed Hurricanes69c670.64$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb24e…c073backed Penguins32c603.13$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes68c499.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.991,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins31c497.92$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins33c494.53$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.191,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Hurricanes67c444$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5211951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Hurricanes63c400$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes44c378.46$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Penguins34c356.29$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.146956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Hurricanes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5812955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Hurricanes67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5124347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Penguins34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Penguins32c263.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0147249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Penguins31c245.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6241851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Hurricanes66c234.73$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.816050%30 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8df…61aabacked Penguins44c213.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins32c204.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Hurricanes60c199.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins31c193.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Penguins40c163$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Penguins34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1094…d30cbacked Hurricanes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x548c…763bbacked Hurricanes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6163…595cbacked Penguins34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860b…a80fbacked Hurricanes69c132.13$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.962564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Hurricanes67c124.31$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0248654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Penguins34c118.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.22050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Hurricanes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Hurricanes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Penguins34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Hurricanes67c99.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.994047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Penguins33c97.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3262944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd57…c7e2backed Penguins32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Hurricanes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe2b…95d3backed Penguins31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Penguins47c85.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2225…ff6fbacked Penguins31c77.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b67…d01fbacked Penguins33c76.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.011127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Hurricanes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6318259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Hurricanes67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6319852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Penguins32c65.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.821428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe144…7df6backed Hurricanes35c64.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+70.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dcd…2822backed Penguins31c64.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0550…bcb8backed Penguins31c64.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5685…e3e8backed Penguins32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9140…cf5ebacked Hurricanes69c62.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1148…db63backed Hurricanes68c59.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e65…a9cebacked Hurricanes68c57.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Penguins32c55.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.958346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…7b95backed Hurricanes68c55.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4c…d079backed Hurricanes68c55.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf063…62c1backed Penguins36c53.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b5…35c2backed Hurricanes67c51.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd539…6b7ebacked Hurricanes68c50.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1960…f5e0backed Penguins34c50.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc83c…4cffbacked Hurricanes67c49.65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ab…0a30backed Penguins33c48.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd1…17debacked Hurricanes75c46.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5c…b8a7backed Penguins36c46.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…6612backed Hurricanes68c46.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b0…9b67backed Penguins45c45.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9827…de86backed Hurricanes68c44.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x609c…8d4dbacked Hurricanes25c44.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1752…9ababacked Penguins32c43.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2987…1148backed Hurricanes69c43.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8e…ae49backed Hurricanes55c43.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x847f…7340backed Hurricanes58c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb241…ad2abacked Hurricanes59c39.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b4…6363backed Penguins75c38.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbe…99e0backed Hurricanes40c38.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd6…4e24backed Hurricanes67c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5e…f229backed Penguins56c37.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf58…0c47backed Penguins32c37.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Hurricanes67c37.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1819057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f67…0e43backed Hurricanes60c36.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…1c90backed Penguins63c36.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d85…859fbacked Hurricanes67c35.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84a…6a94backed Penguins33c35.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a0…39c0backed Penguins33c35.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c53…8058backed Hurricanes68c35.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90d0…c11bbacked Penguins33c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcead…75bbbacked Penguins33c34.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1292…cd40backed Penguins32c34.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x478d…543ebacked Hurricanes67c34.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b98…034ebacked Penguins38c33.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…520bbacked Penguins74c33.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff6…a8ebbacked Penguins33c33.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…6de4backed Hurricanes69c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e89…04f0backed Penguins34c33.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.