MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821c6eb8ff7dd4808009df7f6f5c2999669d2f9521a11825a1a43da0079a50ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Guardians, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mariners | 52c | 137,187$71,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,103.83 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Guardians | 48c | 129,501$62,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,098.91 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Mariners | 52c | 117,614$61,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,454.86 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Guardians | 48c | 77,261$37,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,085.16 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 48c | 35,866$17,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,056.72 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Mariners | 53c | 31,970$17,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,959.02 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Mariners | 51c | 27,865$14,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,685.53 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Guardians | 53c | 13,226$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Guardians | 48c | 12,506$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,002.92 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 45c | 11,808$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 53c | 10,448$5,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.51 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 53c | 7,873$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.76 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mariners | 60c | 6,773$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.85 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Mariners | 59c | 6,153$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 52c | 5,013$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.07 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Guardians | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Guardians | 28c | 2,522$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.64 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 1c | 2,450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 25c | 2,275$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.48 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.56 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 52c | 2,134$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 44c | 2,118$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 44c | 2,084$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.81 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Guardians | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 46c | 1,864$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.95 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 1c | 1,566$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 39c | 1,318$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 55c | 1,290$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.63 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 55c | 1,286$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 45c | 1,173$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Guardians | 41c | 1,116$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.49 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 52c | 1,076$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.43 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 52c | 1,046$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.57 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Guardians | 15c | 1,014$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mariners | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Guardians | 43c | 961.55$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.18 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 52c | 855.08$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.26 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Guardians | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Mariners | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 43c | 782.24$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.25 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Mariners | 52c | 770.55$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.55 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 42c | 749.92$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 4c | 737.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mariners | 48c | 733.77$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 55c | 698.6$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.37 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 41c | 680$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 47c | 607.34$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.36 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Guardians | 47c | 601.96$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.92 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Guardians | 42c | 577.14$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.33 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Guardians | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Guardians | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Mariners | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Guardians | 49c | 495.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Mariners | 63c | 490.77$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Guardians | 43c | 466.51$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…1165backed Guardians | 50c | 427.62$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Mariners | 58c | 424.84$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…ac6dbacked Guardians | 50c | 403.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mariners | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Mariners | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mariners | 41c | 358.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 58c | 356.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…443ebacked Guardians | 50c | 344.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9298backed Guardians | 50c | 343.58$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 48c | 329.86$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…8b05backed Mariners | 52c | 328.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…d4cbbacked Mariners | 52c | 307.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…fd7ebacked Mariners | 52c | 301.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Guardians | 45c | 222.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Guardians | 47c | 210.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Guardians | 49c | 205.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 50c | 201.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 52c | 199.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 76c | 167$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Guardians | 61c | 163.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Guardians | 48c | 143.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mariners | 63c | 142.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 33c | 141.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…259fbacked Mariners | 52c | 138.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…9baabacked Guardians | 15c | 136.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Guardians | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 48c | 130.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 46c | 128.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 51c | 119.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 49c | 100.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Guardians | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Mariners | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…6b4fbacked Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Guardians | 48c | 80.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.