Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x362e67ab2cccd2b0d8b9ead0ec370b4b1f1a9a84d0d370e16ce1a861594665b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,545,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,108,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,545,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed No | 8c | 1,265,547$99,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,197.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…98ebbacked No | 49c | 47,451$23,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,288.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…30f3backed No | 8c | 36,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 74c | 24,652$18,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked No | 7c | 24,473$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb5…a908backed Yes | 24c | 20,738$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,737.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e559backed No | 14c | 16,493$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…3e09backed Yes | 45c | 14,847$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,096.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 9c | 13,234$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.8 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…4385backed No | 7c | 12,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 66c | 11,032$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.39 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed No | 11c | 6,716$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.59 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…a0edbacked No | 0c | 6,612$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e5d8backed No | 1c | 6,400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 0c | 6,140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -70%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 13c | 6,052$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.34 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed No | 1c | 5,694$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…9847backed No | 1c | 5,498$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 1c | 4,361$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 71c | 4,126$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.15 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 47c | 4,100$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.01 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 0c | 4,051$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 15c | 3,910$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 3,523$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.14 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 59c | 3,160$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.65 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed No | 3c | 3,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…3b1bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,948$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +375.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,557$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…d0ddbacked No | 2c | 2,522$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…7ab9backed Yes | 49c | 2,503$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed No | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,418$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 57c | 2,351$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 33c | 2,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 77c | 2,140$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7482backed Yes | 31c | 2,089$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 19c | 2,055$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.26 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…d54ebacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 59c | 1,880$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.41 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d19…a3fdbacked No | 2c | 1,718$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 9c | 1,640$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked No | 3c | 1,554$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…9fe4backed No | 1c | 1,340$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…f32abacked No | 13c | 1,114$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed No | 7c | 1,100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…d776backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 26c | 1,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…8f10backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed No | 28c | 999.94$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…7fe9backed No | 2c | 999.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93d…e226backed No | 8c | 887.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…af72backed No | 60c | 870.96$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…c064backed No | 11c | 849.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 3c | 721.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 10c | 703.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…0b58backed Yes | 36c | 699.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…d6f7backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed No | 19c | 608.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Yes | 34c | 600$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd957…572fbacked Yes | 65c | 587$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…604dbacked No | 6c | 576.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 36c | 560.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.18 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…3219backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc511…a220backed No | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…e971backed Yes | 34c | 515.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed No | 46c | 507.98$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef91…97b1backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…8115backed No | 31c | 488.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…673dbacked No | 8c | 472.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Yes | 71c | 471.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…d79cbacked No | 8c | 457.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…e8a6backed Yes | 50c | 445.06$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…b955backed No | 9c | 444.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…ccdebacked No | 6c | 393.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 69c | 363$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…ffbfbacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…170ebacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…8c47backed No | 15c | 301$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed No | 55c | 300.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…9be5backed No | 8c | 286.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…1996backed Yes | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 26c | 269.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…c18abacked No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b50…683dbacked Yes | 37c | 230.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…d58cbacked No | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Yes | 80c | 200.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…1c57backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.