MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdd98366f3776c1e62132d0b1d43f5184d7a8cf2c2a69aa3e63bfe7302484d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Red Sox, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 4c | 16,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 59c | 7,925$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.28 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Red Sox | 41c | 5,656$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Red Sox | 23c | 3,698$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.16 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 2c | 2,774$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners | 59c | 2,588$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.1 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Red Sox | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 65c | 1,908$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox | 1c | 1,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…56dfbacked Red Sox | 39c | 1,456$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…dbddbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,456$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…7f02backed Red Sox | 41c | 1,227$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Red Sox | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Red Sox | 40c | 999.77$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 61c | 904.37$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 30c | 759$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Red Sox | 32c | 671.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Red Sox | 30c | 666.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Red Sox | 40c | 659.63$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 64c | 652.61$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 75c | 649$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 68c | 632.58$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.7 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 69c | 607.86$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 39c | 591.14$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…9f03backed Red Sox | 18c | 562.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Red Sox | 13c | 535.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 19c | 517.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Red Sox | 7c | 501.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Red Sox | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 38c | 499.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Red Sox | 3c | 493.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Red Sox | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Red Sox | 3c | 431.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox | 16c | 385.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mariners | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox | 38c | 266.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners | 61c | 261.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Red Sox | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 60c | 259.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 39c | 256.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 61c | 249.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Red Sox | 43c | 234.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 64c | 225.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…2983backed Red Sox | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…9929backed Mariners | 62c | 174.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mariners | 61c | 139.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…da50backed Red Sox | 40c | 136.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -9.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 59c | 135.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Sox | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed Mariners | 59c | 127.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mariners | 65c | 127.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Red Sox | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…7534backed Red Sox | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Mariners | 61c | 106.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…147ebacked Red Sox | 39c | 103.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Red Sox | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 61c | 95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 38c | 94.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Mariners | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 44c | 89.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Red Sox | 40c | 63.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Mariners | 61c | 62.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3133…5b73backed Red Sox | 40c | 57.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…e3adbacked Red Sox | 40c | 53.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Mariners | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…8a1dbacked Red Sox | 40c | 51.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…849abacked Red Sox | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Mariners | 61c | 50.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Red Sox | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…568cbacked Mariners | 62c | 49.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…99d4backed Mariners | 62c | 45.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 77c | 41.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Red Sox | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Red Sox | 39c | 36.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Mariners | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Mariners | 66c | 32.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Mariners | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Mariners | 62c | 28.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Mariners | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.