MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e90f555b3144e08ab933afcfd2c16cf8a0ecce11de6b2e86ba0fca0bfd7bb9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 7c | 11,370$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 47c | 9,428$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.82 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 24c | 6,069$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.95 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Astros | 54c | 5,947$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.46 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 18c | 5,598$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 23c | 4,845$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d92…3832backed Astros | 52c | 3,300$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Astros | 72c | 2,773$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.76 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Athletics | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 25c | 2,160$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.67 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 53c | 1,870$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.69 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Astros | 51c | 1,825$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.02 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Astros | 59c | 1,550$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…68a6backed Athletics | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…aa26backed Athletics | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8939…5070backed Athletics | 48c | 1,076$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 8c | 1,052$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 48c | 999.89$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Astros | 52c | 999.87$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.94 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 59c | 956.24$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.24 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 52c | 914.24$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.84 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Athletics | 7c | 892.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Astros | 55c | 687.36$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 18c | 581.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Astros | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Astros | 53c | 512.5$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Astros | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 53c | 495$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics | 46c | 438.91$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Astros | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 6c | 414.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Astros | 55c | 401.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 38c | 394$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 31c | 343.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Astros | 68c | 325.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Astros | 59c | 310.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 51c | 299.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Athletics | 43c | 231.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…bc50backed Astros | 55c | 227.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 48c | 208.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed Astros | 55c | 203.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Athletics | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 40c | 196.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Astros | 55c | 182.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Astros | 53c | 181$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Athletics | 43c | 180.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Astros | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Athletics | 42c | 149.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Astros | 69c | 140.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Athletics | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Athletics | 42c | 112.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…aeb6backed Astros | 52c | 107.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Athletics | 49c | 106.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…8a1dbacked Athletics | 49c | 100.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…f74dbacked Athletics | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Astros | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Athletics | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Astros | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 43c | 99.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Astros | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 29c | 92.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Astros | 55c | 90.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 26c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…24a6backed Astros | 53c | 81.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Astros | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Astros | 52c | 73.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Athletics | 49c | 72.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…ae27backed Athletics | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9ea2backed Astros | 52c | 65.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…ca58backed Astros | 52c | 65.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Astros | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Astros | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Athletics | 49c | 55.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…adb7backed Athletics | 49c | 52.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Athletics | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Astros | 80c | 46.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…25ccbacked Astros | 53c | 45.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 62c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…2d38backed Astros | 53c | 39.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…98bbbacked Astros | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Astros | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…721ebacked Athletics | 48c | 37.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Astros | 58c | 35.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.